Somerset, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 68°
  • Clear
  • Wind: ENE 14 mph
  • Humidity: 30%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 36°
  • Pressure: 30.21 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
70°
72°
64°
55°
50°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Clear
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Clear
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Somerset, Kentucky

Updated: 11:00 AM EDT on April 19, 2014

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 73F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 73F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast. Low of 55F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 72F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the NW in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 59F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 79F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the West after midnight. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 77F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 54F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Special Statement  Statement as of 12:34 PM EDT on April 19, 2014


... Enhanced fire danger today and again on Sunday...

For this afternoon and early evening a combination of minimum
relative humidity between 20 and 30 percent... sustained winds of 10
to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph... and recent dry weather... will
create an enhanced threat for any wildfires to quickly spread.

An enhanced fire danger will exist again Sunday afternoon... with
minimum relative humidity dropping to 15 to 25 percent. Winds on
Sunday will be lighter than today... with sustained winds of 5 to 10
mph.

Any open burning will be potentially dangerous and is discouraged. In
addition... Kentucky state law prohibits burning within 150 feet of
Woodland or brush land between the hours of 6 am and 6 PM during this
time of year.

Sbh




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 12:01 PM EDT

Temperature: 67 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: NNE at 14 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Clover Pointe, Somerset, KY

Updated: 1:03 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 32% Wind: North at 8.3 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 1:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 71.3 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: NNE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Burnside, KY

Updated: 1:03 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: Calm Pressure: 26.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Napier Mountain, London, KY

Updated: 1:03 PM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: NE at 12.1 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: MSWO, London, KY

Updated: 1:03 PM EDT

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 30% Wind: ENE at 16.1 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
1251 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2014 


Update... 
issued at 1251 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2014 


Quick update to lower relative humidities...which with strong 
sunshine and good mixing will drop below levels originally forecast. 
Winds have dropped off slightly from this mornings mix out...but are 
still near critical fire weather thresholds at one or two observation 
stations. Overall expect a very gradual decrease in winds through the 
remainder of the afternoon and therefore do not anticipate any fire 
weather problems. However will monitor closely and have issued a 
Special Weather Statement to highlight concerns for enhanced wild 
fires this afternoon and Sunday. 


Update issued at 1031 am EDT Sat Apr 19 2014 


Forecast is in great shape this morning...just like the weekend. Few 
minor tweaks to grids to come in line with latest hourly observation. Did try 
to tighten up the gradient in the sky grids as subsidence on the 
peripheral of southeast storm system is eating away some of the 
higher cirrus and middle level cloud cover across eastern Kentucky. Temperatures 
were a little slow out of The Gate for some of our valley locations 
but afternoon highs look on target. Will make final adjustments with 
next update...if needed. Inversion has mixed out...allowing winds to 
increase from their lighter early morning levels. Therefore freshened 
up zones to remove light wind/afternoon wording. 


Update issued at 745 am EDT Sat Apr 19 2014 


Did a quick update to fine tune the T and dew point grids as well as the low 
temperature grid for this morning. Also...adjusted the sky cover 
grids over the next several hours given the pivot and resurgence of 
the higher level moisture seen in the latest satellite loop. These 
updates have been sent to the ndfd and web servers. 


&& 


Short term...(today through sunday) 
issued at 330 am EDT Sat Apr 19 2014 


06z surface analysis shows high pressure located over the Great Lakes 
and stretched south through the Ohio Valley while a low pressure 
area is slowly passing well to the south of east Kentucky. This 
southern system is keeping high clouds...generally thicker 
southeast...over the County Warning Area this night. This...combined with light 
northeast surface wind flow...has slowed the decline of temperatures for 
most places overnight. The exception is the most sheltered valleys in 
the east...and a few in the southwest like ekq...where readings are 
in the middle 40s while middle and upper 50s are more common elsewhere. 
Dewpoints...meanwhile...are running in the middle and upper 30s through 
the northeast parts of the area compared to the low and middle 40s over 
the Cumberland Valley region. 


The models are in pretty good agreement through the short term 
portion of the forecast despite the current unstable middle level 
pattern. Kentucky will be split by amplified flow to the south and 
north...featuring deep and...in some cases...closed off lows. This 
is an unusual setup...but while it holds through the weekend...east 
Kentucky will reap the benefits of quiet weather. Local middle level 
ridging in the slow moving southern stream will keep energy far away 
from east Kentucky during this time. As such...have followed a model 
blend for weather details through Sunday. 


Sensible weather will feature a continuation of pleasant conditions 
through the weekend. The high clouds will retreat off to the east 
during the day allowing for more sunshine during the afternoon and 
temperatures climbing into the low to middle 70s in most places. Clearer 
skies tonight will make for a better setup leading to ridge versus 
valley temperature differences into Sunday morning. A return of 
some middle and lower level clouds will be possible by late Sunday 
afternoon moving in from the west. However...mostly sunny skies 
through the bulk of the day will help support highs generally in the 
upper 70s for east Kentucky. 


Started with the consshort and bias corrected consshort guidance for 
the temperature...dewpoint...and wind grids through the first 24 
hours of the forecast followed by the British Columbia/consall thereafter. Did 
adjust the temperatures colder in the valleys tonight and also 
tweaked dewpoints drier each afternoon. As for probability of precipitation...ended up in the 
low single digits through the short term...in line with all the 
guidance. 


Long term...(sunday night through friday) 
issued at 320 am EDT Sat Apr 19 2014 


Models are in fairly good agreement through the long term portion of 
the forecast. Shortwave ridging aloft will bring dry warm conditions 
for Sunday night into the day on Monday. A short wave trough and 
associated surface low and cold front will bring a good chance of 
showers and thunderstorms to the area Monday night into Tuesday. 
There is good model agreement on the timing of precipitation chances 
with the early week system...with the European model (ecmwf) perhaps being a bit 
slower than the GFS to start things off. Drier and slightly cooler 
weather will follow the frontal passage with yet another warm up on 
tap for the end of the week. Another chance for showers and 
thunderstorms will arrive on Friday with the approach of another 
cold front. The models are a bit out of sync with the late week 
system. Both models develop an area of low pressure aloft over the 
northern plains and move this system eastward across the Great 
Lakes...Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley regions. The ecwmf is quite 
a bit slower...less moist and weaker with its weather system than 
the GFS. That all being said...used a blend between the two model 
solutions for this time frame...with maximum precipitation chances of 
only 30 percent during system passage. Overall...a very pleasant 
week is on tap...with highs topping out in the 60s and 70s each 
day. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Sunday morning) 
issued at 750 am EDT Sat Apr 19 2014 


Despite some thicker high and middle-level clouds over southeast Kentucky 
through midday...VFR conditions will continue to be the rule. Light 
northeast winds will pick up during the middle to late morning hours with 
some gusts to 15 kts or so out of the northeast by early afternoon. 
The winds will settle after sunset tonight. 




&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Update...ray 
short term...greif 
long term...Arkansas 
aviation...greif 



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