Updated: 10:41 PM EST on February 13, 2016
Cold. Mostly cloudy. Lows near 10 above. Light winds.
A chance of snow in the morning...then snow in the afternoon. Snow accumulation around 1 inch. Highs in the lower 30s. Light winds. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Snow in the evening...then snow or rain late. Snow accumulation around 3 inches. Total snow accumulation around 4 inches. Lows around 30. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Rain. Highs in the lower 40s. Light winds. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the evening. Lows in the lower 30s. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Cloudy with rain showers likely and a chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Highs around 40.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Mostly sunny. Highs around 50.
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
Sunny. Highs around 60.
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s.
... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 1 PM Sunday to 10 am
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for accumulating snow... which is in effect from
1 PM Sunday to 10 am EST Monday.
* Timing... snow will move into east central Kentucky by 1pm
Sunday... spreading across all of eastern Kentucky by late
afternoon. Snow will then intensify and become more widespread
Sunday evening and through Sunday night... before transitioning
to rain by mid morning Monday.
* Snow accumulations... generally 3 to 5 inches of total snowfall
is expected from Sunday through mid morning Monday.
* Impacts... travel conditions will be affected as roads will become
snow covered and slippery. This will likely affect the Monday
morning commute. Further more... visibilities may be reduced in
some of the heavier snow showers.
A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: APRSWXNET, Acorn, KY
Updated: 2:11 AM EST
|Temperature: 16 °F||Dew Point: 8 °F||Humidity: 69%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.46 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 16 °F||Graphs|
Location: RMR - Somerset, Ferguson, KY
Updated: 2:39 AM EST
|Temperature: 18.5 °F||Dew Point: 7 °F||Humidity: 62%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.50 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 18 °F||Graphs|
Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY
Updated: 2:51 AM EST
|Temperature: 17.2 °F||Dew Point: 6 °F||Humidity: 60%||Wind: North at 2.9 mph||Pressure: 30.40 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 17 °F||Graphs|
Location: Eubank Baptist Pastor, Eubank, KY
Updated: 2:46 AM EST
|Temperature: 16.3 °F||Dew Point: 6 °F||Humidity: 64%||Wind: East at 4.7 mph||Pressure: 30.28 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 9 °F||Graphs|
Location: Denny Subdivision, Mount Vernon, KY
Updated: 2:52 AM EST
|Temperature: 15.6 °F||Dew Point: 6 °F||Humidity: 64%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.38 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 16 °F||Graphs|
Location: Maretburg, Mount Vernon, KY
Updated: 2:41 AM EST
|Temperature: 15.4 °F||Dew Point: 6 °F||Humidity: 66%||Wind: NE at 2.7 mph||Pressure: 30.14 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 15 °F||Graphs|
Location: South Corbin, Corbin, KY
Updated: 2:51 AM EST
|Temperature: 14.4 °F||Dew Point: 12 °F||Humidity: 89%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.46 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 14 °F||Graphs|
Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY
Updated: 2:46 AM EST
|Temperature: 19.2 °F||Dew Point: 10 °F||Humidity: 66%||Wind: SE at 3.0 mph||Pressure: 30.48 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 19 °F||Graphs|
Location: MSWO, London, KY
Updated: 2:52 AM EST
|Temperature: 15.3 °F||Dew Point: -0 °F||Humidity: 49%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.27 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 15 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 107 am EST sun Feb 14 2016 Update... issued at 107 am EST sun Feb 14 2016 Previous forecast continues to have a good hold on this afternoon and tonight/S snowfall. Single digit temperatures continue to be in the offing for later this morning with wind chills in the single digits and even pushing zero. Update issued at 1120 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 With the 00z model runs coming in this evening...have updated the forecast with the latest data. Warmer air moving in a bit quicker Sunday night will change the snow over to rain a bit quicker. So have updated the forecast to input a nondiurnal trend into the forecast Sunday night. This does impact snow totals a bit but still expecting the 3 to 5 inches over a greater than 12 hour period. However...the most recent runs of the GFS and NAM have hinted at a band developing between the mountain and hal Rogers parkways. Intensification of this area may be enough to put down a significant amount of snow before the precipitation changes over to rain. The other concept is the higher terrain to the southeast where temperatures will be low enough for a later change over to snow but taking the banded precipitation longer to develop there. The uncertainty of two factors make confidence low enough to continue with the advisory. A new zone forecast product has been sent out with this update. && Short term...(this evening through Sunday night) issued at 342 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 As high pressure moved into the region from the northwest today...much of eastern Kentucky experienced northwest flow...enhanced in the middle and upper levels by a strong upper level troughing pattern. This northwest flow allowed moisture from Lake Michigan to flow as far south as eastern Kentucky...and resulted in scattered patches of snow flurries throughout the day...especially across the northern and far eastern County Warning Area. As high pressure settles in closer to the region this afternoon...winds will continue to lighten and prevent best moisture from protruding so far southward into the Ohio Valley...cutting off any further flurry activity. Otherwise...with high pressure passing overhead overnight...the main element of concern will be temperatures. Strong northwest to southeast flow in the middle and upper levels will continue to pull drier but much colder Arctic air into the region. With mostly clear to partly cloudy skies expected through the first part of the night...strong subsidence will form...and maximum radiational cooling will ensue. It is likely that many of the deeper valleys will see single digit temperatures by dawn on Sunday...while most of the ridges will be lucky to see the teens. This coupled with light winds could result in wind chills around 0 or even several degrees below in some locations. Behind the exiting high pressure on Sunday...winds will become more southerly...with temperatures rising back into the middle 20s to low 30s. Meanwhile...an upper level wave will begin strengthening across the upper Midwest...moving eastward towards the Mississippi River valley during the day. Veering surface winds in wake of the departing ridge will usher in warmer air aloft later tonight into Sunday. This will help draw a stream of Gulf moisture north ahead of this upper disturbance. Top-down moistening will lead to increasing high-middle cloud cover from late tonight through the day Sunday...before low clouds and resulting snow commences Sunday afternoon. As temperatures fall several degrees Sunday night...we can pretty much ensure that all precipitation between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning will fall in the form of snow. The NAM continues to be the most aggressive on timing...and the outlier as such...so trended more towards a European model (ecmwf) and GFS solution for both timing and snow ratios. Generally agreed with wpc quantitative precipitation forecast guidance...which when paired with forecasted snow ratios...resulted in total snowfall across the region between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning in the 2.5 to 4.5 range. Due to the elongated nearly 24 hour time period of snow...this only falls into advisory criteria. After some good collaboration with neighboring offices...we decided to hoist our advisory with a start time of 18z Sunday...and ending 15z Monday. Long term...(monday through saturday) issued at 350 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 Wave responsible for the system on Monday has just moved onshore and should be sampled better by our upper air network this evening for the 00z models. In the meantime...we are still dealing with some model discrepancies...and will stay close to a blended approach as possible to hedge from the various solutions. As it stands now...looks like a snow should transition over to rain Monday morning as a somewhat deep wedge of warm air spreads northward Monday morning across eastern Kentucky. Where the models differ, is how wrapped up the system gets and thus how far north the warm air can make it. For now...opting to go with the rain for much of the day Monday. It does appear as moisture pulls out Monday night...we may see snow mix back in or completely change back over. However...models are suggesting a faster end to the precipitation Monday night...so any accumulations may be more limited. The brief lull will be short into Tuesday as another clipper dives south across the area. Right now...models are favoring a more northern track...which would keep all precipitation primarily rain at the onset Tuesday afternoon/evening. As the system passes by...cold air will spread back in and we may see a changeover to snow with some very light accumulations possible. Much like the past few systems...light flurries/snow showers could linger well into Wednesday before dissipating. Finally we should dry out heading into Thursday and Friday as heights start to build over the region. This will yield a more significant warm up as we head into the late week period. Another system may push across the area late Friday. && Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Sunday night) issued at 107 am EST sun Feb 14 2016 VFR conditions will continue through this morning into early this afternoon before light snow moves in. MVFR ceilings/visibilities will ensue from early-middle afternoon through Sunday evening. However...IFR and even LIFR ceilings/visibilities will certainly be a likelihood come Sunday evening and night. Will better refine timing on this before inserting into the forecast. Winds should remain near 5-10 knots while veering east and southeasterly. && Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 am EST Monday for kyz044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104- 106>120. && $$ Update...shallenberger/Guseman short term...jmw long term...kas aviation...Guseman