Somerset, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 84°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: WSW 15 mph
  • Humidity: 55%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 66°
  • Pressure: 30.02 in. 0
  • Heat Index: 87

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Next 12 Hours

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2  am
Rain Showers
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T-storms
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82°
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81°
72°
70°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Thunderstorm
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Somerset, Kentucky

Updated: 11:00 AM EDT on September 02, 2014

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 84F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers, then rain showers after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with rain showers in the morning, then partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. Fog early. High of 86F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain after midnight. Low of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 86F with a heat index of 91F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog early. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 63F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 86F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 2:01 PM EDT

Temperature: 87 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: SSW at 14 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 92 °F Graphs

Location: Clover Pointe, Somerset, KY

Updated: 2:51 PM EDT

Temperature: 89.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: SSW at 9.8 mph Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 2:49 PM EDT

Temperature: 87.8 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: SE at 13.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 93 °F Graphs

Location: Burnside, KY

Updated: 2:51 PM EDT

Temperature: 86.4 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: Calm Pressure: 26.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Denny Subdivision, Mount Vernon, KY

Updated: 2:51 PM EDT

Temperature: 86.2 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: WNW at 8.5 mph Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 93 °F Graphs

Location: Colonial Estates, Monticello, KY

Updated: 2:50 PM EDT

Temperature: 90.5 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: South at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 91 °F Graphs

Location: Napier Mountain, London, KY

Updated: 2:51 PM EDT

Temperature: 84.2 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: WSW at 4.5 mph Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 90 °F Graphs

Location: MSWO, London, KY

Updated: 2:51 PM EDT

Temperature: 88.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: SSW at 7.6 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 92 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
156 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 


Update... 
issued at 948 am EDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 


The forecast for this afternoon has become complicated by the 
remnants of an mesoscale convective system over the Ohio Valley and the outflow boundary 
which is currently moving into the Bluegrass. Current thinking is 
that the outflow boundary will generally weaken as it continues 
moving to the southeast. This should be temporary and will then be 
the focus of development later in the afternoon. So pretty much going 
with two prongs. The first being redevelopment with the outflow 
boundary and the second being the prefrontal activity. The severe 
threat today will be effected by how much debris cloud is able to 
move into the area. The low level instability will be effected by 
effected by the clouds. The latest NAM buffer has really backed off 
from yesterday with half the cape than what was forecast yesterday. 
Also missing is the dry air pockets aloft which would have been 
helpful for wet microbursts to occur. Can not rule out severe 
thunderstorms...however the chances have gone down. Most likely will 
still see a couple of severe storms with this system. Updated the 
forecast to reflect the current conditions and model trends. 


Update issued at 649 am EDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 


No significant changes made this morning. Line of showers and storms 
extends from Cincinnati southwest to the northwest side of 
Louisville. This line continues to slowly weaken as it moves east. If 
it were to hold together...looks like it may work into the Bluegrass 
counties after 13z. However...given the trend this seems unlikely and 
at best perhaps an isolated shower can hold together. Main concern 
continues to be later today...primarily after 2 PM as outflow from 
this mornings convection redevelops showers and storms. Not sure the 
coverage will be all that great after looking at the latest hrrr and 
new 06z mav guidance. Both of these models have backed off 
significantly on the chances of rain today. However...going to stay 
the course as the trough is still fairly defined and outflow has 
already defined a boundary for new convection to develop. 


&& 


Short term...(today through wednesday) 
issued at 330 am EDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 


Presently...a shortwave trough is pushing into the Ohio River valley 
region. An mesoscale convective system developed yesterday evening head of this trough and 
is now marching eastward into central/southern Indiana...stretching 
back to the southwest across southern Illinois. Infrared satellite has 
shown some warming with the cloud tops over the past hour or 
two...indicating that this mesoscale convective system may already be on the decline. In 
fact...the hrrr supports the idea of a dying mesoscale convective system as it tries to push 
into central Kentucky towards daybreak. Cannot rule out a few showers 
pushing into the Bluegrass shortly after 8 am...but anticipate more 
of the action with the shortwave trough will come later this 
afternoon as we generate some instability. With this in mind...plan 
to back off the probability of precipitation through midday with just some isolated showers 
for areas north of I-64. Outflow from the dying mesoscale convective system will be pushing 
across eastern Kentucky early this afternoon...and could kick start 
the convection as it encounters some decent instability. The forcing 
aloft should allow for fairly good shower and thunderstorm coverage 
by middle to late afternoon. With bulk shear values of 30-40kts this 
afternoon...a severe threat would exist as thunderstorms could put 
out some damaging wind gusts. The shear profiles weaken by middle 
evening and the loss of daytime instability should yield weakening 
storms after 6 PM. However...a few gusty winds may still be possible 
through 8 or 9 PM. 


The shortwave trough will stall a cold front across southern 
Kentucky by late this evening. Given the presence of this 
boundary...and plenty of moisture...it may be possible to see 
isolated showers through the night across the southern half of 
Kentucky. This boundary will linger around into Wednesday and with 
instability again ramping up during the afternoon...we could be 
looking at a few more isolated to scattered showers and 
thunderstorms. However...by Wednesday...very little shear is 
present...so we should see more Ordinary thunderstorms with no severe 
threat. 


Temperatures over the next 2 days should be fairly similar to what we 
have seen lately with highs into the low to middle 80s. Same can be said 
for lows tonight with readings generally around 70. 


Long term...(wednesday night through monday) 
issued at 418 am EDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 


The frontal boundary referenced in the short term will be dissolving 
early in the long term period...but there should still be dry air in 
place Wednesday night...especially aloft. If any convective precipitation 
can develop off of low level moisture on Wednesday afternoon...it 
should die out by night as heating is lost and support aloft will 
likely be lacking. 


Deeper moisture will make a comeback late in the week and may fuel 
a resurgence of showers and thunderstorms...but a subtropical ridge 
aloft over the southeast Continental U.S. Will help to keep coverage limited for a 
while. The ridge will weaken and get suppressed by a broad trough 
dropping southeast into the NE Continental U.S. During the weekend. This will allow a 
cold front to move into our region from the northwest. The scenario will 
allow an increase in precipitation coverage...with a peak expected on 
Saturday. Even though the front should pass by Sunday...the models 
still leave some question as to how effective the front will be at 
bringing in a drier air mass. Have held onto low probability of precipitation in the 
afternoon and evening on Sunday and Monday...especially in our southeast 
counties. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon) 
issued at 156 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 


Eastern Kentucky is primed for thunderstorms as moist and unstable 
conditions are prevalent across the area. There is an old outflow 
boundary bisecting the area which we are watching as a Focal Point 
for convective initiation and there is also a front which is moving 
toward the area from the northwest with lots of prefrontal convection 
out ahead of it. Mainly VFR conditions are expected at the taf sites 
this afternoon and evening except for in the vicinity of the 
thunderstorms and rain showers. Put some tempo conditions in the taf 
as the best estimate as to when thunderstorms are most likely affect 
them. Expect some vlifr to form at the taf stations as well as the 
valleys later this evening as the convection moves off to the south 
and east. 


&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Update...jj 
short term...kas 
long term...hal 
aviation...jj 












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