Somerset, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Freeze Warning , Special Statement View All Alerts

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Current Conditions

  • 32°
  • Light Rain
  • Wind: NNW 12 mph
  • Humidity: 100%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 32°
  • Pressure: 30.02 in. +
  • Heat Index: 23

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Next 12 Hours

5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
32°
32°
32°
36°
37°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Snow Showers
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Snow Showers
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 28 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 37 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Somerset, Kentucky

Updated: 5:00 AM EDT on November 01, 2014

Freeze watch in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday morning...
  • Saturday

    Overcast with a chance of snow, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 41F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50% .

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 25F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Overcast in the morning, then clear. High of 64F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 37F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast. High of 66F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Low of 46F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 64F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast. Fog overnight. Low of 46F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the West at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 55F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 21F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 50F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Overcast. Fog early. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Freeze Warning  Statement as of 3:48 am EDT on November 1, 2014


... Freeze warning in effect from midnight EDT tonight to 9 am EST
Sunday...

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a freeze
warning... which is in effect from midnight EDT tonight to 9 am
EST Sunday. The freeze watch is no longer in effect.

* Temperatures... widespread sub-freezing temperatures are expected
late tonight into Sunday morning... with lows bottoming out in the
mid to upper 20s.

* Timing... temperatures will fall below freezing after midnight
tonight and remain below freezing until mid morning Sunday morning.

* Impacts... most crops and other sensitive vegetation will likely get
killed across most of eastern Kentucky late tonight into Sunday
morning... effectively ending the growing season.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.






 Special Statement  Statement as of 9:42 PM EDT on October 31, 2014


... Shot of winter weather tonight into Saturday morning...
... Freeze watch in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday
morning...

A strong cold front has ushered colder air into the commonwealth. An
upper level low will bring wintry precipitation through Saturday.
Temperatures will continue to drop overnight... and rain or a mix of
rain and snow will gradually transition to all snow. The changeover
to all snow will occur first at elevations of 1000 feet and above...
and the latest in the deeper valleys. The snow will gradually wind
down and end a touch of drizzle or light rain by late Saturday
afternoon.

Most of the snow accumulations will reside on grassy and elevated
surfaces due to warm ground temperatures. Accumulations of an inch or
less are anticipated by dawn across the Bluegrass region... and
portions of northeast and south central Kentucky... but due to the
warm ground temperatures... expect most of this snow to melt fairly
quickly on Saturday morning.

In addition... sub-freezing temperatures are expected Saturday and
Sunday night. A freeze may occur in the I-75 corridor Saturday
night... with a hard freeze and widespread frost expected area-wide
Sunday night. Those with sensitive plants will need to take action to
protect them through the weekend.

Jmw/jp




 Record Report  Statement as of 2:25 am EDT on November 1, 2014


... Record monthly precipitation for October set at London KY...

The London Corbin Airport recorded 0.23 inches of precipitation on
the 31st... bringing the monthly total to 8.35 inches. This eclipses
the previous record October rainfall of 7.69 inches set in 1977.

Climate records for the London Corbin Airport date back to 1954.



 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 1:10 am EDT on November 1, 2014


... Climate normals... means and extremes for November...

... Jackson Kentucky (jkl)...

Temperature data...

Average maximum... ... ... .. 57.3
average minimum... ... ... .. 39.4
average monthly... ... ... .. 48.4
highest... ... ... ... ... ... . 82 on the 4th in 2003 & 2nd in 2004
lowest... ... ... ... ... ... .. 13 on the 14th in 1986
low maximum... ... ... ... ... 30 on the 21st in 1981/21st in 2000/27th
                            in 2002/24th in 2013
high minimum... ... ... ... .. 63 on the 27th in 1990 & 2nd in 2004 normal days with high 90 or above... .. 0.0
normal days with high 32 or below... .. 0.3
normal days with low 32 or below... .. 7.6
normal days with low 0 or below... .. 0.0

Degree days (base 65)... .. Heating cooling

Monthly average... ... ... .. 503 4
greatest monthly... ... ... . 702 in 1996 15 in 1982
least monthly... ... ... ... . 299 in 2001 0 in various years

Precipitation data...

Monthly average... ... ... .. 3.96 inches
wettest... ... ... ... ... ... . 9.32 inches in 1986
driest... ... ... ... ... ... .. 0.80 inches in 2009
greatest 24 hour... ... ... . 4.30 inches on the 8th-9th in 1986
average days of thunder... 1.0
average days of dense fog. 3.6
average snowfall... ... ... . 0.5 inches
greatest snowfall... ... ... 5.1 inches in 1995
greatest 24 hour snowfall. 4.3 inches on the 28th in 1995
greatest snow depth... ... . 4 inches in 1995

... London Kentucky (loz)...

Temperature data...

Average maximum... ... ... .. 58.5
average minimum... ... ... .. 36.7
average monthly... ... ... .. 47.6
highest... ... ... ... ... ... . 82 on the 4th in 1977
lowest... ... ... ... ... ... .. 2 on the 30th in 1976
low maximum... ... ... ... ... 22 on the 29th in 1959
high minimum... ... ... ... .. 67 on the 5th in 1977
normal days with high 90 or above... .. 0.0
normal days with high 32 or below... .. 0.4
normal days with low 32 or below... .. 13.0
normal days with low 0 or below... .. 0.0

Degree days (base 65)... .. Heating cooling

Monthly average... ... ... .. 524 2
greatest monthly... ... ... . 859 in 1976 19 in 1977
least monthly... ... ... ... . 316 in 1985 0 in numerous years

Precipitation data...

Monthly average... ... ... .. 3.83 inches
wettest... ... ... ... ... ... . 8.53 inches in 1986
driest... ... ... ... ... ... .. 0.40 inches in 1976
greatest daily rain... ... . 3.53 inches on the 12th in 1975
average snowfall... ... ... . 0.0 inches
greatest snowfall... ... ... 4.5 inches in 1959 and 1963
greatest daily snowfall... 4.3 inches on the 27th in 1977

***snowfall records for London were kept between 1954 and 1996***

The latest climate outlook for November indicates that eastern Kentucky
will be in a weather pattern more conducive to near normal temperatures
and near normal precipitation.

For more information on climate outlooks try this internet address:
http://www.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.Gov

climate weather records at the Julian Carroll Airport near Jackson
Kentucky (jkl) date back to January 1st 1981.

Climate weather records at the London-Corbin Magee field Airport (loz)
date back to November 11th 1954.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 3:01 AM EDT

Temperature: 35 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: WNW at 8 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 29 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 3:58 AM EDT

Temperature: 33.5 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: South at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Windchill: 29 °F Graphs

Location: Denny Subdivision, Mount Vernon, KY

Updated: 3:57 AM EDT

Temperature: 32.5 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: NW at 10.5 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 24 °F Graphs

Location: MSWO, London, KY

Updated: 3:58 AM EDT

Temperature: 34.3 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: NNE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.04 in Windchill: 29 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
225 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 


Update... 
issued at 225 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 


Mainly freshened up the hourly temperatures and dew points to account 
for the latest trends in observations. Valley temperatures continue 
to fluctuate in and around the freezing mark...with better precipitation 
returns changing over to snow temporarily...before going back to a 
rain/snow mix or just light rain or drizzle. Have had to trim back 
the storm total snow grid a bit based on the 00z-06z trend. So 
far...acccumulating snow seems to be restricted to above 2000 feet 
based on local observations. Will stay the course with the current 
headlines readings as the models continue to show the precipitation to pick up 
through 12z. Updates have been sent. 


Update issued at 1120 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Hourly grids have again been freshened up based on recent 
observations. Radar continues to show bands of precipitation east of 
the upper level low over central Kentucky...with bands of precipitation to the 
north and west of it across central Kentucky. Drizzle or light rain is 
generally occuring over much of the area...but the higher returns 
east and south of the radar are likely rain or rain and snow 
mixed...with snow likely above 1500 feet. Black Mountain at 4100 feet is 
at 26 now and the Kentucky RWIS site on 119 at the Pine Mountain crest is at 30 
as is the Pike County Flatwoods Kentucky mesonet site. These areas have 
likely experience snow for 2 to 4 hours already. Much of the area is 
currently in a lull...but a ramp up in the activity should still 
occur between 2 am and dawn. Pending the precipitation rates...valley 
loations could pick up a dusting. The NAM guidance seems overdone 
with snowfall amounts north of Kentucky Highway 80...with the recent RUC 
data being more reasonable. This event is still expected to favor the 
higher terrain in southeastern Kentucky and the current headlines appear 
reasonable at this time. In fact...event snowfall may end up below 
the current forecast unless activity picks up prior to 6z...2 am. 


Update issued at 722 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Temperatures have trended colder than the previous forecast immediately 
behind the cold front dropping south and is nearing the Virginia border 
at this time. This is leading to several reports of a rain and snow mix 
across the region...particularly in locations at 1000 feet and above. 
The hourly grids have been adjusted accordingly. Overnight lows 
still look on target though at this time. Trends will be evaluated this 
evening to see if any adjustments might be needed to the headlines. 


&& 


Short term...(this evening through Saturday night) 
issued at 413 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


500mb low is currently making its way southward into the Ohio River 
valley...with all models agreeing on it/S movement into central Kentucky 
around 0z this evening...and exiting to the south of the region 
between 6 and 12z. At the surface...a cold front has just swept east 
of the state...pulling an area of prefrontal rain out of the County Warning Area 
over the next few hours. There will be a Short Gap in the 
precipitation...as is currently indicated by the radar...before the 
deformation zone of the closed low brings yet another round of 
showers to the region late this afternoon and evening. Temperatures 
are still on track to drop around or just below freezing between 6 
and 12z tonight. However...given the expected borderline freezing 
temperatures...and the ongoing rain and snow potential...decided to go 
ahead and cancel the freeze advisory. It will be highly unlikely 
that we will see any frost form overnight with these conditions. 


With temperatures dropping near or below freezing...still expecting rain to 
switch to snow overnight...and then transitioning back to rain 
during the daytime hours tomorrow. It is likely that the highest 
elevations...and areas across the western County Warning Area will drop below 
freezing first...so have snow developing in these locations as early 
as 0z...with most of the region transitioning to all snow between 06 
and 09z. Several things have changed from the previous forecast from 
the midnight shift. New model runs brought in a stronger area of 
Omega near 12z this morning...signifying the possibility for a 
stronger band to move through the region around this time. 
Also...the westward image seemed to be catching on to this trend...and 
was placing more widespread one inch amounts across much of the 
western portion of the County Warning Area...and into lmk and iln/S area. Ended up 
increasing quantitative precipitation forecast slightly during the 06 to 12z time frame...and also 
upped the snow totals slightly from a dusting to around 0.5 to 1.0 
inch. Despite this...still expect what snow that does fall to most 
likely melt fairly quickly...especially in the western portion of 
the County Warning Area. Given the higher amounts...some of the higher terrain even 
in central Kentucky /including here at kjkl/ could see snowfall amounts in 
excess of 1 to 2 inches. Given that this is the first snowfall of 
the year...and many of these ridges are populated...and that it is 
the first of the month...decided to go ahead and add on to the 
ongoing advisory...extending it as far west as jkl. 


Snow will slowly transition back to rain through middle morning 
tomorrow...before the entire system quickly exits to the southeast. Dry air 
will slowly work in...with probability of precipitation expected to slowly taper off from 
Saturday afternoon to Saturday night. Given such...a strong blast of 
cold air is expected to interject into the region. Despite ongoing 
cloud cover insulation...cold air advection will be strong enough to overcome...and 
temperatures should drop well below freezing. What precipitation is lingering in 
the eastern portion of the region will likely Switch Back to a 
mixture of rain...freezing rain /which should have very little 
impacts/...drizzle...freezing drizzle...and snow. Will keep the 
freeze watch out for this time period...but impacts of the weather 
should not require any further headlines. 


Long term...(sunday through friday) 
issued at 345 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


As the dynamic ul system works its way up the Atlantic Seaboard 
towards New England...an unseasonably cold air mass is left in its 
wake. Sunday morning temperatures are expected to be the coldest of 
the season with lows in the middle to upper 20s. Sub-freezing 
temperatures are also expected Monday morning. However...as high 
pressure builds into our region...temperatures will gradually warm 
through mid-week. Southerly to southwesterly winds will help usher 
in warmer and more humid air during this period with high 
temperatures peaking in the low to middle 60s on Wednesday. A cold 
front will push through eastern Kentucky Wednesday 
afternoon/evening...but this is where there are discrepancies in the 
models...mainly with the interactions between the northern and 
southern stream energy. The 00z European model (ecmwf) shows the frontal precipitation 
pushing through our County Warning Area between 12z Wednesday and 00z Thursday. 
However...the 06z GFS is slower with the fronts mvmt...and shows 
precipitation lingering from 18z Wednesday all the way through 00z Friday. 
So until models come into better agreement with the frontal 
system...decided to be fairly modest with the probability of precipitation and precipitation 
amounts. Quiet weather will end the work week as a weak ridge of 
high pressure builds over the region. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Saturday night) 
issued at 225 am EDT Sat Nov 1 2014 


IFR/LIFR conditions with rain and snow gradually changing over to 
mostly snow will continue through 12z...before a gradual improvement 
towards MVFR occurs from west to east through the evening. Worse 
conditions will linger across the higher elevations along the 
Virginia border the longest into the day...before precipitation winds 
down a little after dusk. Northwest winds of 5 to 10 kts...with a 
few gusts possible in the 15 to 20 knots range are expected through the 
period as well. 


&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
freeze watch from this evening through Sunday morning for kyz044- 
050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. 


Winter Weather Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for kyz088- 
118. 


Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for 
kyz084>087-109-110-112-113-115>117-120. 


&& 


$$ 


Update...geogerian 
short term...jmw 
long term...jvm 
aviation...geogerian 












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