Monticello, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 68°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 100%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 68°
  • Pressure: 30.14 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
66°
66°
68°
76°
80°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 62 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 85 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Monticello, Kentucky

Updated: 10:29 PM EDT on August 29, 2015

  • Rest of Tonight

    Mostly cloudy. Patchy valley fog developing late. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds.

  • Sunday

    Patchy valley fog early. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Patchy valley fog developing late. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Susie Community, Monticello, Urman-Link, Monticello, KY

Updated: 1:12 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Wastewater plant, Somerset, KY

Updated: 1:40 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: LazyDaze, Jamestown, KY

Updated: 12:48 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: RMR - Somerset, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 1:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.0 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY

Updated: 1:43 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: hidden valley farms, Somerset, KY

Updated: 1:34 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.0 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.05 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Woods Edge Drive, Somerset, KY

Updated: 1:46 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Waste Water Treatment Plant, Science Hill, KY

Updated: 1:45 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 1:48 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
133 am EDT sun Aug 30 2015 


Update... 
issued at 133 am EDT sun Aug 30 2015 


Updated the forecast to input the latest observations into the 
grids for temperatures...dew points...and winds. Otherwise not too 
many concerns with this update. All showers have ended earlier and 
have left fog in the forecast through dawn. 


Update issued at 1036 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2015 


The forecast through 12z tomorrow has been updated. Regional radar 
imagery has shown that shower and storm activity across central 
and eastern Kentucky has ended over the past couple of hours. 
Rain showers across Tennessee are also continuing to rapidly 
dissipate. Considering the sun has long since stopped adding 
energy to the atmosphere...and with no new activity forming 
anywhere in or near our area...and with added support from the 
latest model data of dry weather overnight...the decision was made 
to remove precipitation from the forecast through 12z Sunday. 
Isolated showers and storms should start to fire again tomorrow 
morning once the sun has been up for awhile and the atmosphere 
becomes reenergized. The hazardous weather outlook has also been 
updated to reflect no hazardous weather across the area tonight. 
Some valley is still expected to form...but should not cause any 
issues. The new forecast and severe weather potential statement have both already been issued. 


Update issued at 732 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2015 


The forecast is on track so far this evening. A few stray rain 
showers area affecting areas along and north of i64 and down in 
Wayne County. This matches well with the slight chance probability of precipitation 
currently in the latest hourly forecast grids for both those 
areas. These showers will diminish steadily this evening as the 
sun GOES down. The latest hourly observation and blended model data have 
been ingested into the grids to establish new trends. Aside from 
that the forecast was unchanged. Therefore...no update is 
planned at this time. 


&& 


Short term...(this evening through Sunday night) 
issued at 355 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2015 


19z surface analysis shows high pressure exiting to the east while a 
broad area of low pressure is drifting toward the state from the 
Central Plains. The increase in moisture and lack of a cap have 
allowed a few cells to develop through western and northern parts 
of the area this afternoon. So far...the coverage has been fairly 
sparse and that should be the case into the evening as the 
diurnally driven instability wanes. Temperatures are in the middle 
80s at most places with dewpoints in the middle 60s. Under partly 
sunny skies winds are from the south to southwest at around 10 
kts. 


The models are in good agreement aloft through the short term 
portion of the forecast. They all depict a broad and rather weak 
trough over the Ohio and Tennessee valleys with slow moving 
batches of energy caught over the region...stuck between 
marginally higher heights to the west and southeast. Given the 
broad agreement with the models have favored the higher resolution 
guidance from the hrrr and nam12 for weather details. 


Sensible weather will feature the isolated to scattered showers 
and thunderstorms diminishing toward and after sunset with partly 
cloudy skies anticipated through the night. Patchy valley fog will 
again form towards dawn with a small ridge to valley temperature 
split likely setting up. Sunday will see a better chance for 
convection throughout the County Warning Area with more clouds helping to keep 
temperatures about a category cooler...but with conditions equal 
or even more humid than today. Again patchy fog and a minor ridge 
to valley temperature split can be expected later Sunday night into 
Monday morning. 


Started with the shortblend for temperatures...dewpoints...and 
winds through the evening before going with the superblend for 
the rest of the period. Did adjust the min temperatures each night 
for terrain differences. As for probability of precipitation...ended up closer to the 
drier mav numbers throughout the short term period. 


Long term...(monday through saturday) 
issued at 330 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2015 


Upper level ridging will remain in place across much of the eastern 
Continental U.S. Throughout the extended. Meanwhile...both the remnants of ts 
Erika and a weak upper level low over the Mississippi River valley 
will be the features that will prevent US from having a completely 
dry and clear week ahead. The upper level ridge will be the main 
player...keeping stable air across the region during the overnight 
hours as the temperatures cool. However...during the 
day...increasing temperatures and the above mentioned upper level 
triggers will result in some isl to scattered showers and thunderstorms 
across the region. Our best chances for seeing precipitation will be during 
the day Monday as the low that was ts Erika moves far enough west to 
impact far southeast Kentucky. It will quickly transition to the NE 
however...with an approaching shortwave and the diminishing upper 
level low over the Mississippi Valley shifting eastward across Kentucky 
by middle week. 


Most of the winds through this period will be from the east at the 
surface...and from the west-southwest in the middle and upper levels. In other 
words...it is not very favorable for sustainable thunderstorm 
development. Not going to rule out some rumbles of thunder...so did 
keep mention of thunderstorms and rain in forecast...but Don/T expect storms to become 
very tall or be fast movers. Not to mention latest GFS forecast 
soundings Don/T show Li/S below -5c and cape above 1500 j/kg /with 
the exception of Monday/...so nothing too concernable expected 
through the week at this point. 


The overall ridge pattern and lack of widespread cloud cover will 
allow temperatures to slowly increase each day throughout the week. 
While high temperatures on Monday will still be contained in the low 
to middle 80s...we could see upper 80s by Tuesday...and possibly even a 
90 degree spot or two to round out the weekend. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Sunday night) 
issued at 133 am EDT sun Aug 30 2015 


The main concern at the taf sites through dawn will be the 
development of fog. Though...with some cloud cover lingering over 
east Kentucky...forecasting the onset will be quite difficult. 
Have used a tempo group at each site besides jkl as fog should 
remain in the valleys. Also...despite some slightly higher dew 
points...fog should be MVFR to IFR at worst. With generally light 
winds into the day with some increase in southwest flow will be 
the norm. Expecting showers and thunderstorms to develop by 18z 
and persist into the evening. Coverage continues to be a bit in 
question so will go with thunderstorms in the vicinity at the sites. 


&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Update...shallenberger 
short term...greif 
long term...jmw 
aviation...shallenberger 






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