Monticello, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 21°
  • Clear
  • Wind: NE 4 mph
  • Humidity: 46%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 3°
  • Pressure: 30.50 in. -
  • Heat Index: 16

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Next 12 Hours

7  pm
10  pm
1  am
4  am
7  am
Clear
Clear
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
20°
16°
14°
14°
17°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Snow
  • High: 36 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Snow
  • Monday
  • Rain
  • High: 40 °
  • Low: 31 °
  • Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Snow
  • High: 44 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Snow
  • Wednesday
  • Snow Showers
  • High: 42 °
  • Low: 27 °
  • Snow Showers
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 52 °
  • Low: 38 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Monticello, Kentucky

Updated: 2:31 PM EST on February 13, 2016

Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 1 PM Sunday to 10 am EST Monday...
  • Tonight

    Cold. Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 10 to 15. Light winds.

  • Sunday

    A chance of snow in the morning...then snow in the afternoon. Snow accumulation around 1 inch. Highs in the lower 30s. Light winds. Chance of snow 90 percent.

  • Sunday Night

    Snow. Snow accumulation around 3 inches. Total snow accumulation around 4 inches. Lows in the lower 30s. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph late. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

  • Washingtons Birthday

    Rain or snow in the morning...then rain in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the evening. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.

  • Tuesday

    Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

  • Tuesday Night

    Cloudy with rain showers likely and a slight chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower 40s.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.

  • Thursday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.

  • Friday

    Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.

  • Saturday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Winter Weather Advisory  Statement as of 2:14 PM EST on February 13, 2016


... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 1 PM Sunday to 10 am
EST Monday...

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for accumulating snow... which is in effect from
1 PM Sunday to 10 am EST Monday.

* Timing... snow will move into east central Kentucky by 1pm
Sunday... spreading across all of eastern Kentucky by late
afternoon. Snow will then intensify and become more widespread
Sunday evening and through Sunday night... before transitioning
to rain by mid morning Monday.

* Snow accumulations... generally 3 to 5 inches of total snowfall
is expected from Sunday through mid morning Monday.

* Impacts... travel conditions will be affected as roads will become
snow covered and slippery. This will likely affect the Monday
morning commute. Further more... visibilities may be reduced in
some of the heavier snow showers.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while
driving.



Jmw



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Susie Community, Monticello, Urman-Link, Monticello, KY

Updated: 6:24 PM EST

Temperature: 23.5 °F Dew Point: 7 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: NNW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 24 °F Graphs

Location: Bryan (LazyDaze), Jamestown, KY

Updated: 5:32 PM CST

Temperature: 23.5 °F Dew Point: -1 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 24 °F Graphs

Location: RMR - Somerset, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 6:24 PM EST

Temperature: 23.3 °F Dew Point: 8 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 23 °F Graphs

Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY

Updated: 6:31 PM EST

Temperature: 23.7 °F Dew Point: 8 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: NNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.54 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 24 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Acorn, KY

Updated: 5:55 PM EST

Temperature: 25 °F Dew Point: 8 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: NE at 1 mph Pressure: 30.51 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 25 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 6:32 PM EST

Temperature: 21.0 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 21 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
350 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 


Short term...(this evening through Sunday night) 
issued at 342 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 


As high pressure moved into the region from the northwest today...much of 
eastern Kentucky experienced northwest flow...enhanced in the middle and upper 
levels by a strong upper level troughing pattern. This northwest flow 
allowed moisture from Lake Michigan to flow as far south as eastern 
Kentucky...and resulted in scattered patches of snow flurries throughout 
the day...especially across the northern and far eastern County Warning Area. As 
high pressure settles in closer to the region this afternoon...winds 
will continue to lighten and prevent best moisture from protruding 
so far southward into the Ohio Valley...cutting off any further 
flurry activity. Otherwise...with high pressure passing overhead 
overnight...the main element of concern will be temperatures. 


Strong northwest to southeast flow in the middle and upper levels will continue to 
pull drier but much colder Arctic air into the region. With mostly 
clear to partly cloudy skies expected through the first part of the 
night...strong subsidence will form...and maximum radiational 
cooling will ensue. It is likely that many of the deeper valleys 
will see single digit temperatures by dawn on Sunday...while most of 
the ridges will be lucky to see the teens. This coupled with light 
winds could result in wind chills around 0 or even several degrees 
below in some locations. 


Behind the exiting high pressure on Sunday...winds will become more 
southerly...with temperatures rising back into the middle 20s to low 
30s. Meanwhile...an upper level wave will begin strengthening across 
the upper Midwest...moving eastward towards the Mississippi River 
valley during the day. Veering surface winds in wake of the 
departing ridge will usher in warmer air aloft later tonight into 
Sunday. This will help draw a stream of Gulf moisture north ahead of 
this upper disturbance. Top-down moistening will lead to increasing 
high-middle cloud cover from late tonight through the day 
Sunday...before low clouds and resulting snow commences Sunday 
afternoon. 


As temperatures fall several degrees Sunday night...we can pretty 
much ensure that all precipitation between Sunday afternoon and 
Monday morning will fall in the form of snow. The NAM continues to 
be the most aggressive on timing...and the outlier as such...so 
trended more towards a European model (ecmwf) and GFS solution for both timing and 
snow ratios. Generally agreed with wpc quantitative precipitation forecast guidance...which when 
paired with forecasted snow ratios...resulted in total snowfall 
across the region between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning in the 
2.5 to 4.5 range. Due to the elongated nearly 24 hour time period of 
snow...this only falls into advisory criteria. After some good 
collaboration with neighboring offices...we decided to hoist our 
advisory with a start time of 18z Sunday...and ending 15z Monday. 


Long term...(monday through saturday) 
issued at 350 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 


Wave responsible for the system on Monday has just moved onshore 
and should be sampled better by our upper air network this evening 
for the 00z models. In the meantime...we are still dealing with 
some model discrepancies...and will stay close to a blended 
approach as possible to hedge from the various solutions. As it 
stands now...looks like a snow should transition over to rain 
Monday morning as a somewhat deep wedge of warm air spreads 
northward Monday morning across eastern Kentucky. Where the models 
differ, is how wrapped up the system gets and thus how far north 
the warm air can make it. For now...opting to go with the rain for 
much of the day Monday. It does appear as moisture pulls out 
Monday night...we may see snow mix back in or completely change 
back over. However...models are suggesting a faster end to the 
precipitation Monday night...so any accumulations may be more 
limited. The brief lull will be short into Tuesday as another 
clipper dives south across the area. Right now...models are 
favoring a more northern track...which would keep all 
precipitation primarily rain at the onset Tuesday 
afternoon/evening. As the system passes by...cold air will spread 
back in and we may see a changeover to snow with some very light 
accumulations possible. Much like the past few systems...light 
flurries/snow showers could linger well into Wednesday before 
dissipating. Finally we should dry out heading into Thursday and 
Friday as heights start to build over the region. This will yield 
a more significant warm up as we head into the late week period. 
Another system may push across the area late Friday. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Sunday afternoon) 
issued at 1223 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 


High pressure will continue to move into the region today...promoting 
northwest flow but keeping winds generally less than 10 knots as we 
continue to lose pressure gradients. As a result of this northwest 
flow...we are still tapping into some moisture coming off of Lake 
Michigan...which will promote snow flurry activity throughout the 
afternoon across portions of eastern Kentucky...mainly at ksjs... 
ksym...and possibly kjkl. Otherwise...VFR conditions should remain 
in control as we head into the overnight. Northwest winds will veer 
northeasterly this evening and tonight as high-middle clouds 
gradually lower through 12z Sunday in response to an approaching 
system to our west. While VFR conditions will likely be in place 
through Sunday morning...expect deteriorating conditions 
throughout the day as snow starts to move into the region 


&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM Sunday to 10 am EST Monday for 
kyz044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. 


&& 


$$ 


Short term...jmw 
long term...kas 
aviation...jmw 



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