Updated: 4:00 PM EST on November 21, 2014
Clear. High of 45F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 57F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Overcast with rain showers. High of 63F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast. Low of 57F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 63F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 36F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 46F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 41F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 18F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40%.
Mostly cloudy. High of 41F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 15 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 18F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.
Overcast. High of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Fog early. High of 45F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 40%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 54F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Balcony Bend, Jamestown, KY
Updated: 6:45 PM CST
|Temperature: 36.0 °F||Dew Point: 25 °F||Humidity: 63%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.42 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 36 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY
Updated: 7:01 PM EST
|Temperature: 35 °F||Dew Point: 16 °F||Humidity: 46%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 35 °F||Graphs|
Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY
Updated: 7:38 PM EST
|Temperature: 28.0 °F||Dew Point: 23 °F||Humidity: 81%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.46 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 28 °F||Graphs|
Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY
Updated: 7:40 PM EST
|Temperature: 30.4 °F||Dew Point: 16 °F||Humidity: 54%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.40 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 30 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 734 PM EST Friday Nov 21 2014 Update... issued at 733 PM EST Friday Nov 21 2014 Just issued a new set of zones featuring changes made to the temperature forecast for next Thursday...Thursday night and Friday time period. The temperatures we had in the forecast before for this part of the forecast period were at least 6 to 7 degrees warmer than some of our neighbors. The dew points and weather grids were also reran based on the new temperatures. Update issued at 635 PM EST Friday Nov 21 2014 The forecast has been on track so far this evening...so no update is planned at this time. However...some of our forecast grids for next Thursday and Thursday night are quite a bit out of sync with some of our neighbors...so some adjustments will be made to correct this issue later in the shift...along with any other necessary updates. && Short term...(this evening through Saturday night) issued at 335 PM EST Friday Nov 21 2014 Surface high pressure passing over the region today will move to our east tonight...with warm air advection beginning as low level flow turns to the south. Isentropic lift in the warm air advection will also bring some clouds to the region late tonight and Saturday... especially in our far northwest counties. However...model trends suggest that any precipitation should remain northwest of the jkl forecast area. An upper low/shortwave trough over the far SW corner of the Continental U.S. Today will move to Texas Saturday night...before then turning NE and phasing with a northern stream system catching up with it. This system will just be starting to take shape at the end of the period...and will result in increasing clouds and an increase in low level flow for our local area. It still appears that precipitation with this system will hold off until after Saturday night. That being said...temperatures could be the trickiest part of the short term period. Our first night will start out with a typical diurnal downturn in temperatures...with valleys leading the way. However...as low level flow increases during the night...ridges as well as open terrain in the western part of the forecast area should see temperatures level off or even rise overnight. Clouds in the far northwest toward dawn will also aid in this trend. Meanwhile...valleys in the east will likely maintain their cold readings overnight...or even continue to fall very slowly. Exactly where the transition from one temperature regime to the other occurs will be very difficult to delineate. Skies becoming partly to mostly sunny on Saturday...along with temperatures aloft continuing to warm...will allow for a substantial warm-up to near normal readings. The temperature forecast for Saturday night will pose essentially the same challenges as tonight... except low level flow will become stronger...and clouds will be on the increase not only in the northwest but also in the SW part of the area. Long term...(sunday through friday) issued at 335 PM EST Friday Nov 21 2014 Upper level shortwave is expected to be centered near and around the arklatex region by Sunday morning. This upper level feature will track NE as it begins to phase with the long wave trough located in the western US early next week. This will continue to deepen a associated surface low that will track NE into the middle Mississippi River valley. Attendant warm front will continue to surge north through the day Sunday. The 06z GFS continues to move precipitation in slower while the 00z European model (ecmwf)/06 NAM are a bit faster. Previous forecast had a gradient and leaned that direction given that it is a decent compromise to some of the timing differences that have been seen. There could be a downslope component to this system as mentioned in previous discussion...however I think this would be translated more in the quantitative precipitation forecast. Therefore plan to put higher probability of precipitation in the forecast for Sunday afternoon since rain does look at least likely. Rain will die off Sunday night as warm front continues to move north of the region. This warm front does finally bring some slightly above normal high temperatures across the County Warning Area Sunday. Moving into Monday expect a cold front to cross the region through the day. Given drier air filtering in aloft lighter quantitative precipitation forecast and pop amounts will be more slight to chance side. Given decent mixing and strong upper level jet across the region will lead to a breezy day across the region. Surface high begins to nudge east as we move into Tuesday with generally deep trough moving across much of the eastern US. Models do come into better agreement on disturbance later Wednesday into Thursday. At this time will stick close to model consensus which brings slight probability of precipitation across that region. After this European model (ecmwf) develops a surface low across the southern Mississippi River valley and brings it NE into the Ohio Valley by late Friday. While the GFS has a reflection of this much later in the model run. Again given uncertainty will stick close to blend which gives more in the way of slight to chance probability of precipitation into Friday. Overall temperatures are expected to remain below normal from Tuesday through the rest of the long term. && Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Saturday evening) issued at 635 PM EST Friday Nov 21 2014 VFR conditions and winds less than 10kts are expected through the period. We will see flucuations in cloud cover from time to time as a weak warm front passes by on Saturday...but nothing more than that is expected during the taf period at this time. && Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$ Update...Arkansas short term...hal long term...dj aviation...Arkansas