Monticello, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 63°
  • Clear
  • Wind: East 4 mph
  • Humidity: 18%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 18°
  • Pressure: 30.08 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

9  pm
12  am
3  am
6  am
9  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 60 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Friday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 38 °
  • T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 35 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Clear
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Clear
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 56 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Monticello, Kentucky

Updated: 5:16 PM EDT on January 01, 2015

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. Lows overnight in the upper 40s.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low 47F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with rain showers at times. Thunder possible. High 73F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming cloudy with periods of rain after midnight. Thunder possible. Low near 60F. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90%.

  • Friday

    Showers and thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe. High 72F. Winds SSW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 100%.

  • Friday Night

    Rain early...then remaining cloudy with showers late. Low 38F. Winds NW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 100%.

  • Saturday

    Sunny. High 57F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low near 35F. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 66F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    A few clouds. Low 46F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    A few showers early with overcast skies later in the day. High 66F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday Night

    Considerable cloudiness. Low 56F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Thunderstorms likely. High 71F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Showers early, becoming a steady rain late. Thunder possible. Low near 60F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

  • Wednesday

    Thunderstorms likely. High around 70F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Thunderstorms during the evening will give way to steady rain overnight. Low 52F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Thursday

    Thundershowers following a period of rain early. High 71F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Thursday Night

    Occasional light rain. Low around 55F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Friday

    Light rain transitioning to a few showers in the afternoon. High 64F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast with showers at times. Low near 50F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday

    Cloudy with occasional rain showers. High 67F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Showers in the evening, then partly cloudy overnight. Low 49F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Clover Pointe, Somerset, KY

Updated: 8:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: NE at 1.0 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 7:01 PM EDT

Temperature: 68 °F Dew Point: 22 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: NE at 4 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Wastewater plant, Somerset, KY

Updated: 6:26 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.6 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 15% Wind: ESE at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: LazyDaze, Jamestown, KY

Updated: 7:05 PM CDT

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.67 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY

Updated: 7:57 PM EDT

Temperature: 65.6 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 29% Wind: East at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Woods Edge Drive, Somerset, KY

Updated: 8:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 64.2 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 32% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs


Updated: 8:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
732 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 

issued at 720 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 

Infrared Sat indicates some high clouds streaming across portions of 
eastern Kentucky this evening. These higher clouds will continue 
to stream into the region overnight as disturbance west of the 
region slowly moves east. Made some minor adjustments to cloud 
cover to account for a few more high level clouds. Also opted to 
make some adjustments to temperature/dewpoint to match better with 
current observation and trends. Still seeing fairly dry conditions at this 
early evening hour with most sites in the lower 20s to 
will continue to run the mention of the lower humidities and 
wildfire potential in the severe weather potential statement at this point. 


Short term...(this evening through Thursday night) 
issued at 353 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 

Current conditions across the area feature high pressure slowly 
moving off to the east as upper level cloud cover moves into 
Kentucky and the Ohio Valley region. The dry air over the area and 
light winds have allowed relative humidity values to drop into the teens in some 
places. These values will slowly recover through the night as 
southwest flow begins to set up. Heading into tonight...due to 
the slow exit...east Kentucky should remain mostly clear through 
much of the night with southerly flow increasing through the 
night. With increase in ll flow moving from SW to the NE...will 
expect to see a great disparity in temperatures from the more open 
valleys in the southwest to the more sheltered valleys in the 
northeastern portions of Kentucky. 

Short term models bring precipitation into the area by 12z or shortly 
after with profiles becoming saturated during the morning hours on 
Thursday. Through due to the dry pattern over eastern Kentucky 
over the past two days...went with slight to chance probability of precipitation through 
the morning hours before increasing the chance for measurable precipitation 
into Thursday afternoon. Middle level ridging over the southeastern 
Continental U.S. Seem to keep the main axis for the heavier precipitation over 
central and western Kentucky through the Thursday time period but 
will still bring good chance probability of precipitation into the area with some decent 
instability in place. Will mention thunderstorms in the severe weather potential statement for 
the Thursday and Thursday night period. 

Heading into Thursday night the strong shortwave moving through 
the Midwest will push a strong cold front into central and eastern 
Kentucky. The lost in daytime heating will detract from the 
instability but still will expect a few strong storms through the 
night Thursday night. With this will also be the best lift and 
moisture and have ramped probability of precipitation up to categorical during this 
period. Some uncertainties on exactly where the main axis of 
precipitation will set up will be in question but for now will stay with 
a consensus in central Kentucky and nosing northeast into the 
Bluegrass area. Will keep mention of any strong thunderstorms and 
heavy rainfall in the severe weather potential statement. 

Long term...(friday through wednesday) 
issued at 353 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 

The main focus of this forecast period is Friday...which includes 
both a heavy rain threat and a severe weather threat. At 12z Friday 
a slow moving cold front will be to our north...with showers and 
possibly thunderstorms ongoing across much of the area...especially 
across the northwest half of the forecast area. A short wave will 
move east from the plains into the MS valley on Friday and an 
associated surface low will track northeast along the front...moving 
across the Ohio Valley. There is good model agreement that the low 
will track to our northwest...with the front not passing to the southeast 
of Kentucky until Saturday night. The amount of low level destabilization 
that occurs on Friday afternoon is still in question...but model 
soundings do indicate increasing instability during the day...with 
Li/S down to -2 or -3. A fairly robust low level jet of 40-50 knots 
at or below 850 mb also looks to be in place. Storm Prediction Center has placed the 
forecast area in a slight to marginal severe threat for Friday. At 
the same time precipitable water looks to be around 1.25 inches and 
some locally heavy rains will also be possible. This is especially 
true in the north where the upper level dynamics associated with an 
upper level jet will be better. 

After the frontal passage cooler and drier air will move in for the 
start of the Easter weekend...with moderating temperatures by 
Sunday. The threat for showers and thunderstorms will return on 
Monday as low level flow from the Gulf of Mexico occurs in advance 
of developing low pressure in the Central Plains. There is lower 
confidence in the pattern evolution towards the middle of next week 
with decreasing model agreement. However following the Standard 
model blended approach yields shower and thunderstorm chances with 
mild temperatures through Wednesday. 


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Thursday evening) 
issued at 735 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 

VFR conditions and light winds will continue through the 
overnight. Most areas have already seen high clouds progressing in 
the from the north and west this evening. Some middle level clouds 
will progress east as we move toward the morning hours from 
weather system that will continue to slowly progress east 
overnight. There are some showers and thunderstorms across 
western Tennessee this hour and these are expected to die off as they 
move northeast based on much of the guidance. More showers will 
develop ahead of this system in the morning hours Thursday and 
will move toward SW and western portions of the County Warning Area. These have 
the potential to drop conditions down to MVFR. Otherwise this 
system will bring several rounds of showers and even thunderstorms 
possible late in the taf period. 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 

short term...shallenberger 
long term...sbh 

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