Updated: 5:16 PM EDT on January 01, 2015
Partly cloudy. Lows overnight in the upper 40s.
Partly cloudy skies. Low 47F. Winds light and variable.
Overcast with rain showers at times. Thunder possible. High 73F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming cloudy with periods of rain after midnight. Thunder possible. Low near 60F. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90%.
Showers and thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe. High 72F. Winds SSW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 100%.
Rain early...then remaining cloudy with showers late. Low 38F. Winds NW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 100%.
Sunny. High 57F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
A mostly clear sky. Low near 35F. Winds light and variable.
Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High 66F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph.
A few clouds. Low 46F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
A few showers early with overcast skies later in the day. High 66F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Considerable cloudiness. Low 56F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.
Thunderstorms likely. High 71F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Showers early, becoming a steady rain late. Thunder possible. Low near 60F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
Thunderstorms likely. High around 70F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Thunderstorms during the evening will give way to steady rain overnight. Low 52F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
Thundershowers following a period of rain early. High 71F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Occasional light rain. Low around 55F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Light rain transitioning to a few showers in the afternoon. High 64F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Overcast with showers at times. Low near 50F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Cloudy with occasional rain showers. High 67F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Showers in the evening, then partly cloudy overnight. Low 49F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Clover Pointe, Somerset, KY
Updated: 8:02 PM EDT
|Temperature: 71.2 °F||Dew Point: 24 °F||Humidity: 17%||Wind: NE at 1.0 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 74 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS, Ferguson, KY
Updated: 7:01 PM EDT
|Temperature: 68 °F||Dew Point: 22 °F||Humidity: 17%||Wind: NE at 4 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: -||Graphs|
Location: Wastewater plant, Somerset, KY
Updated: 6:26 PM EDT
|Temperature: 73.6 °F||Dew Point: 23 °F||Humidity: 15%||Wind: ESE at 3.7 mph||Pressure: 29.82 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Heat Index: 75 °F||Graphs|
Location: LazyDaze, Jamestown, KY
Updated: 7:05 PM CDT
|Temperature: 66.4 °F||Dew Point: 28 °F||Humidity: 23%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.67 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: -||Graphs|
Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY
Updated: 7:57 PM EDT
|Temperature: 65.6 °F||Dew Point: 32 °F||Humidity: 29%||Wind: East at 1.0 mph||Pressure: 30.04 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: -||Graphs|
Location: Woods Edge Drive, Somerset, KY
Updated: 8:05 PM EDT
|Temperature: 64.2 °F||Dew Point: 34 °F||Humidity: 32%||Wind: North at -||Pressure: 30.14 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Heat Index: -||Graphs|
Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY
Updated: 8:06 PM EDT
|Temperature: 60.1 °F||Dew Point: 26 °F||Humidity: 27%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.00 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: -||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 732 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 Update... issued at 720 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 Infrared Sat indicates some high clouds streaming across portions of eastern Kentucky this evening. These higher clouds will continue to stream into the region overnight as disturbance west of the region slowly moves east. Made some minor adjustments to cloud cover to account for a few more high level clouds. Also opted to make some adjustments to temperature/dewpoint to match better with current observation and trends. Still seeing fairly dry conditions at this early evening hour with most sites in the lower 20s to teens...so will continue to run the mention of the lower humidities and wildfire potential in the severe weather potential statement at this point. && Short term...(this evening through Thursday night) issued at 353 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 Current conditions across the area feature high pressure slowly moving off to the east as upper level cloud cover moves into Kentucky and the Ohio Valley region. The dry air over the area and light winds have allowed relative humidity values to drop into the teens in some places. These values will slowly recover through the night as southwest flow begins to set up. Heading into tonight...due to the slow exit...east Kentucky should remain mostly clear through much of the night with southerly flow increasing through the night. With increase in ll flow moving from SW to the NE...will expect to see a great disparity in temperatures from the more open valleys in the southwest to the more sheltered valleys in the northeastern portions of Kentucky. Short term models bring precipitation into the area by 12z or shortly after with profiles becoming saturated during the morning hours on Thursday. Through due to the dry pattern over eastern Kentucky over the past two days...went with slight to chance probability of precipitation through the morning hours before increasing the chance for measurable precipitation into Thursday afternoon. Middle level ridging over the southeastern Continental U.S. Seem to keep the main axis for the heavier precipitation over central and western Kentucky through the Thursday time period but will still bring good chance probability of precipitation into the area with some decent instability in place. Will mention thunderstorms in the severe weather potential statement for the Thursday and Thursday night period. Heading into Thursday night the strong shortwave moving through the Midwest will push a strong cold front into central and eastern Kentucky. The lost in daytime heating will detract from the instability but still will expect a few strong storms through the night Thursday night. With this will also be the best lift and moisture and have ramped probability of precipitation up to categorical during this period. Some uncertainties on exactly where the main axis of precipitation will set up will be in question but for now will stay with a consensus in central Kentucky and nosing northeast into the Bluegrass area. Will keep mention of any strong thunderstorms and heavy rainfall in the severe weather potential statement. Long term...(friday through wednesday) issued at 353 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 The main focus of this forecast period is Friday...which includes both a heavy rain threat and a severe weather threat. At 12z Friday a slow moving cold front will be to our north...with showers and possibly thunderstorms ongoing across much of the area...especially across the northwest half of the forecast area. A short wave will move east from the plains into the MS valley on Friday and an associated surface low will track northeast along the front...moving across the Ohio Valley. There is good model agreement that the low will track to our northwest...with the front not passing to the southeast of Kentucky until Saturday night. The amount of low level destabilization that occurs on Friday afternoon is still in question...but model soundings do indicate increasing instability during the day...with Li/S down to -2 or -3. A fairly robust low level jet of 40-50 knots at or below 850 mb also looks to be in place. Storm Prediction Center has placed the forecast area in a slight to marginal severe threat for Friday. At the same time precipitable water looks to be around 1.25 inches and some locally heavy rains will also be possible. This is especially true in the north where the upper level dynamics associated with an upper level jet will be better. After the frontal passage cooler and drier air will move in for the start of the Easter weekend...with moderating temperatures by Sunday. The threat for showers and thunderstorms will return on Monday as low level flow from the Gulf of Mexico occurs in advance of developing low pressure in the Central Plains. There is lower confidence in the pattern evolution towards the middle of next week with decreasing model agreement. However following the Standard model blended approach yields shower and thunderstorm chances with mild temperatures through Wednesday. && Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Thursday evening) issued at 735 PM EDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 VFR conditions and light winds will continue through the overnight. Most areas have already seen high clouds progressing in the from the north and west this evening. Some middle level clouds will progress east as we move toward the morning hours from weather system that will continue to slowly progress east overnight. There are some showers and thunderstorms across western Tennessee this hour and these are expected to die off as they move northeast based on much of the guidance. More showers will develop ahead of this system in the morning hours Thursday and will move toward SW and western portions of the County Warning Area. These have the potential to drop conditions down to MVFR. Otherwise this system will bring several rounds of showers and even thunderstorms possible late in the taf period. && Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$ Update...dj short term...shallenberger long term...sbh aviation...dj