Monticello, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 86°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: West 10 mph
  • Humidity: 55%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 68°
  • Pressure: 30.01 in. -
  • Heat Index: 89

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Next 12 Hours

4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
4  am
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
90°
86°
75°
71°
70°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 94 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 89 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 65 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Monticello, Kentucky

Updated: 2:23 PM EDT on August 4, 2015

  • This Afternoon

    Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Tonight

    Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Light winds.

  • Wednesday

    Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Light winds.

  • Thursday

    Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

  • Saturday

    Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.

  • Sunday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.

  • Monday

    Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 9:53 am EDT on August 4, 2015



... Rain gauge reports from overnight rainfall...

Thunderstorms targeted parts of northeast Kentucky overnight producing
very heavy rainfall and some flash flooding. Below are rainfall totals
from human read and automated rain gauges in the hardest hit areas.
Only stations reported at least an inch of rain have been included in
this report.

ID station name lat/Lon pcpn

Nftk2 Morehead fire IFLOWS (rowan) 38.20/-83.48 3.27
mtsk2 Mount Sterling 5n (montgomery) 38.06/-83.93 3.05
prstky Owingsville 4s (bath) 38.09/-83.76 3.03
plok2 Peeled Oak IFLOWS (bath) 38.06/-83.80 2.83
mrdk2 Morehead (rowan) 38.18/-83.47 2.75
bdhk2 Bald Hill IFLOWS (fleming) 38.35/-83.71 2.07
mrhdky Morehead 4ne (rowan) 38.22/-83.48 1.94
rnvk2 Reynoldsville IFLOWS (bath) 38.19/-83.82 1.86
srkk2 Sharkey (fleming) 38.25/-83.57 1.76
stqk2 stone Quarry IFLOWS (menifee) 37.99/-83.62 1.47
trmk2 Triangle Mountain (rowan) 38.17/-83.41 1.38
gimk2 Gimlet 9n (elliott) 38.22/-83.13 1.35
frmk2 cave run farmers (bath) 38.14/-83.56 1.26
crlk2 Cave Run Lake (rowan) 38.12/-83.53 1.22
jkl Jackson ASOS (breathitt) 37.60/-83.32 1.22
kyrw03 Morehead 6.4ne (rowan) 38.24/-83.34 1.05
welk2 Wellington (menifee) 37.95/-83.48 1.03
csyk2 Cressy (estill 37.83/-84.04 1.02

Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposure. Not all data listed are considered official.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Susie Community, Monticello, Urman-Link, Monticello, KY

Updated: 3:52 PM EDT

Temperature: 93.0 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: NW at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Old Decker Road, Bronston, KY

Updated: 3:50 PM EDT

Temperature: 94.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Wastewater plant, Somerset, KY

Updated: 3:50 PM EDT

Temperature: 91.9 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: NW at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: LazyDaze, Jamestown, KY

Updated: 2:53 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.9 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.63 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: RMR - Somerset, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 3:46 PM EDT

Temperature: 90.0 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: SW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY

Updated: 3:47 PM EDT

Temperature: 89.5 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: NW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Acorn, KY

Updated: 3:07 PM EDT

Temperature: 88 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: NW at 1 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 96 °F Graphs

Location: Woods Edge Drive, Somerset, KY

Updated: 3:50 PM EDT

Temperature: 87.1 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Waste Water Treatment Plant, Science Hill, KY

Updated: 3:50 PM EDT

Temperature: 85.7 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 93 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 3:53 PM EDT

Temperature: 91.4 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
124 PM EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 


Update... 
issued at 1046 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 


Boundary from last nights convection lies across the southwest 
part of the forecast area and will serve to focus convection this 
afternoon. Ndfd and associated products have been updated to 
account for latest observational trends. Delayed any precipitation 
chances until this afternoon. 


Update issued at 755 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 


Current conditions across the area this morning feature some 
valley fog across eastern Kentucky. Did keep in some fog in the 
zones for this. Also removed some thunder from the morning 
wording as any convection should hold off till after 16z. This is 
confirmed by the high res models including the hrrr. Model 
soundings showing increased instability and weakening cap shortly 
after 15z and the boundary in place over the south will allow 
shower and thunderstorm activity to begin to develop by the 
afternoon. 


&& 


Short term...(today through wednesday) 
issued at 430 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 


Current conditions across eastern Kentucky features some waning 
convection ahead of a cold front. Will keep some slight chance 
probability of precipitation through dawn to cover this activity but overall...the 
weakened forcing and lack of instability will bring this activity 
to an end. Locations across the area received some heavy rainfall 
overnight and a saturated surface coupled with light winds...will 
see some fog development through dawn. 


Heading into the day...the front that passed through overnight 
will stall out over the Kentucky and Tennessee border area. The upper level 
flow sets up in a ridge over the west and trough over the east 
with numerous waves traveling over the ridge and into the Central 
Plains...eventually tracking into Kentucky. The next upper level wave 
will track into the southern Kentucky by late Tuesday. Plenty of surface 
instability along with the wave and a boundary in place will allow 
afternoon and evening convection over southern Kentucky with a 
slight chance to the north. This activity will take more of a 
diurnal trend to it with convection waning shortly after sunset. 


Surface high pressure passing by to the north Tuesday night will 
provide some subsidence and light winds once again combined with 
some dew points still in the middle 60s will lead to more fog 
development towards Wednesday morning. Timing of the next upper 
wave seems to be more later Wednesday into the evening and 
overnight. Though the track...with the surface boundary sliding a 
bit further south will make for a further track to the south for 
the surface low. This still is a bit of question as the tam and 
the GFS have been a bit inconsistent. Nevertheless...with the 
boundary still over the south and plenty of instability developing 
through the day...will keep precipitation chances in the forecast 
through Wednesday afternoon and into the evening. If the models 
are correct in the boundary lifting north any sooner...probability of precipitation will 
need to be increased. For now...will anticipate unorganized 
convection and diurnally driven convection...at least through 
Wednesday afternoon. 


Long term...(wednesday night through monday) 
issued at 529 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 


The models are in general agreement with a modestly amplified long 
wave pattern to start out in the extended...featuring an upper 
level ridge near the Desert Southwest...with troughing in the 
Mississippi Valley and near the Continental Divide. Through the 
weekend...troughing will be more confined to the eastern 
Seaboard...with the ridge shifting east towards the arklatex 
region. By early next week...the pattern will amplify...with 
troughing in the far west...and over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley 
regions...while the ridge holds fast across the middle of the 
Continental U.S.. details associated with the evolution of the pattern 
remain lower confidence...especially for the second half of the 
period. As such...stayed pretty close to the offered blended 
guidance. 


Probability of precipitation will be ramping up to likely across eastern Kentucky through 
Thursday and Thursday night...as a more defined middle-level wave 
along with a surface front take aim at the area. The boundary will 
linger close by through Friday...before sagging southeast and 
dissipating by next weekend to allow for mainly dry weather. As 
the trough amplifies across the Ohio Valley next weekend...the 
boundary will sharpen up in the vicinity...however given the 
lower confidence on how all of this takes place...will stick with 
the return of only slight chance probability of precipitation by Monday. Temperatures 
will average near normal through the period. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon) 
issued at 124 PM EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 


A stalled front remains in place across Kentucky. This will serve 
as a focus for isolated to scattered thunderstorms late this 
afternoon and evening. The chance of any specific taf site being 
affected is low...and expect any storms to mainly occur across the 
SW half of the forecast area. With this in mind will carry thunderstorms in the vicinity 
at jkl...loz and sme for a few hours beginning at 21z. Fog is 
expected to develop late tonight...reducing visibility to IFR or 
worse until around 13z on Wednesday. Outside of any thunderstorms 
or late night/early morning fog...VFR conditions will prevail. 


&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Update...sbh 
short term...shallenberger 
long term...geogerian 
aviation...sbh 






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