Monticello, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 30°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 80%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 25°
  • Pressure: 30.25 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

10  pm
1  am
4  am
7  am
10  am
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
32°
30°
34°
32°
32°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 46 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 54 °
  • Low: 37 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 39 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Chance of Snow

Forecast for Monticello, Kentucky

Updated: 10:00 PM EST on December 19, 2014

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast with a chance of snow. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 30%.

  • Saturday

    Overcast with a chance of snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers in the evening, then overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 30% .

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 48F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 54F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 37F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph shifting to the West after midnight. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.7 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of snow and rain showers in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 14F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 30F with a windchill as low as 21F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 41F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 32F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 52F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 41F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 28F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 34F with a windchill as low as 23F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 32F with a windchill as low as 25F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Balcony Bend, Jamestown, KY

Updated: 10:25 PM CST

Temperature: 31.5 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 11:01 PM EST

Temperature: 30 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at 4 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 26 °F Graphs

Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY

Updated: 11:19 PM EST

Temperature: 30.4 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: ESE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Somerset KY US, Acorn, KY

Updated: 11:00 PM EST

Temperature: 29 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 29 °F Graphs

Location: Waste Water Treatment Plant, Science Hill, KY

Updated: 11:24 PM EST

Temperature: 28.1 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 28 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 11:20 PM EST

Temperature: 28.4 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 28 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
1047 PM EST Friday Dec 19 2014 


Update... 
issued at 1047 PM EST Friday Dec 19 2014 


Current conditions across the area feature cloud cover finally 
starting to overspread the area along with some weak radar returns 
finally making it into southeastern Kentucky. Adjusted the forecast 
to increase the cloud cover for the system moving into the area. The 
only other factor that needed adjusted was the temperatures. Still a 
few breaks in the cloud cover hanging around till a bit later in the 
night has resulted in some of the valleys dropping off a bit lower 
and have adjusted low temperatures for tonight. With this...snow from the 
incoming system from the southwest will last a little longer into the 
after dawn hours. This precipitation is still expected to be light so 
accumulations will still be a dusting at most. As of 0330z...in 
western Kentucky...precipitation is developing a bit further north and moving 
northeast...at this point...not alot of that is reaching the surface 
and models still have this activity fizzling out before it makes it 
into northeastern Kentucky so will continue to leave precipitation out in 
the north but this area of precipitation needs to be monitored. A new zone forecast product 
has been issued for these updates. 


Update issued at 639 PM EST Friday Dec 19 2014 


So far this evening the main forecast challenge looks like it will be 
how far temperatures will fall in the first part of tonight before the middle 
and upper level cloud cover associated with a system tracking to the 
south and east of eastern Kentucky move over the area. This occurrence will 
likely cause temperatures to become steady and hold near the freezing mark 
for lows overnight. For now...these low temperatures seem to be on track but 
will need to monitor for drastic changes in temperatures along with the 
possibility of precipitation towards dawn. This evenings update will not 
require a new zone forecast product. 


&& 


Short term...(this evening through Saturday night) 
issued at 350 PM EST Friday Dec 19 2014 


19z surface analysis shows high pressure still in control of the weather over 
the Ohio Valley. The lower clouds over the northeast are finally 
responding to the drier air from this high by eroding off beneath a 
layer of high clouds spreading in and thickening from the southwest. 
Temperatures across the area vary from the chilly low 30s in the 
north to the lower 40s in the far southeast. Meanwhile...with light 
winds in place over the area...dewpoints vary from the low 20s north 
to the middle 20s south. 


The models continue to be in good agreement with a couple of 
dampening waves moving through the region over the next 36 to 48 
hours. The first of these will pass to the south late tonight and 
into Saturday morning...while a bit better defined one will move 
just north of east through the central Ohio Valley during the day 
Saturday. The models also continued their trend of these waves being 
weaker and of less substance. Later Saturday night...heights will 
rise ahead of the next more significant trough. Accordingly...have 
followed a blended solution and leaned more closely to the nam12 and 
hrrr. 


Sensible weather will feature clouds thickening and lowering through 
the night with a chance of light snow or rain moving into our 
southernmost areas after midnight. Do not expect much in the way quantitative precipitation forecast 
out of this with most of the precipitation falling as just virga or 
flurries/sprinkles. Given the dry dewpoints the precipitation rate will likely 
not fall fast enough to contribute to wetbulbing...keeping it as 
liquid longer than normal in these type of situations. The weak 
southern wave will move away from Kentucky by noon Saturday with even 
some clearing possible before evening. This will make for a tricky 
temperature forecast into Saturday with a wide variance between the 
cooler met numbers and the much milder mav ones. As we are leaning 
more toward the still rather dry nam12 solution will also favor the 
cooler met maximum T numbers. Another cool night follows into Sunday 
morning as some clearing will be possible from the west. 


Again used the bcconsshort as a starting point for the T/TD/wind 
grids for the first 20 hours or so before populating with the 
superblend thereafter. Only minor adjustments were made for terrain 
effects both tonight and Saturday night given the clouds...but did 
drop the maxt down a couple of degrees from the too warm blend. As 
for probability of precipitation...ended up close to a blend of the wetter met and dry mav 
tonight into Saturday...and then dry on Saturday night. 


Long term...(sunday through friday) 
issued at 351 PM EST Friday Dec 19 2014 


Active pattern continues to be the story for much of the long term 
period. Sunday does look quiet for the beginning of the period with 
mostly clear conditions...however clouds will increase from south to 
north through the day into Sunday night. This is system one which 
will come from the southern branch and will bring best chances of all 
rain Sunday night into Monday. This system is expected to progress NE 
but there is questions as to the phasing of this southern and 
impending northern branch system. Given some uncertainty will keep 
slight chance of precipitation Monday into Tuesday. 


Then focus shifts to the northern system as upper level low and 
surface low approaches the Great Lakes Monday night. The models are 
still not in agreement on what happens with this system in terms of 
timing and evolution. The GFS develops a secondary low later that 
moves NE across the middle Atlantic Wednesday...while the European model (ecmwf) 
develops a low across Tennessee and Ohio Valley then moves it straight NE 
Tuesday night. These timing and evolution issues will play a role in 
how much precipitation and precipitation types. Either way thinking Wednesday we 
will see rain/snow to snow as we move through the day into the night 
across portions of the region...however it does look like it will be 
more wrap around later Wednesday. The wrap around snow showers 
should die down as we move through the day Thursday with system 
tracking into the far NE US by Thursday night. Surface high pressure 
off to the south and upper level ridging will build east across the 
southeast US Thursday night into Friday. This will lead to return flow and 
high temperatures warming into the lower 50s by Friday. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Saturday evening) 
issued at 639 PM EST Friday Dec 19 2014 


Tafs...for tonight and into tomorrow will not contain forecasts below 
MVFR but will still be quite challenging. MVFR cloud cover to the 
north in Ohio is ever so slowly creeping to the east. This should stay 
north of sym and sjs but could creep south a bit if the middle and upper 
level cloud cover streaming up from the south is any slower to move 
over the area. For now most places will be VFR overnight with light 
and variable winds. Towards dawn...mainly jkl...loz...and sme will 
see MVFR cloud cover due to precipitation skirting along the Kentucky and Tennessee 
border and east into extreme eastern Kentucky. Most precipitation should stay out 
of the area but have put vcsh in most taf sites for the chance of 
snow showers and rain showers. Unless this activity moves further 
north...most places will be MVFR in the south and VFR in the north. 
Any low cloud cover will exit the area by tomorrow afternoon. 




&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Update...shallenberger 
short term...greif 
long term...dj 
aviation...shallenberger 



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