Updated: 4:00 AM EST on March 02, 2015
Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 41F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast with a chance of snow and a chance of rain. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 30%.
Overcast with rain. High of 55F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.
Overcast with rain. Low of 46F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 1.4 in. possible.
Overcast with rain. Fog early. High of 52F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.
Overcast with snow, then a chance of snow after midnight. Low of 19F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 50%.
Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 30F with a windchill as low as 16F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 7F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 37F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 10F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 48F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 7F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 52F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 27F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Fog early. High of 48F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 21F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Clover Pointe, Somerset, KY
Updated: 7:32 AM EST
|Temperature: 32.7 °F||Dew Point: 31 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: NW at 2.0 mph||Pressure: 25.30 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in||Windchill: 33 °F||Graphs|
Location: Balcony Bend, Jamestown, KY
Updated: 6:39 AM CST
|Temperature: 31.5 °F||Dew Point: 30 °F||Humidity: 94%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.45 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 32 °F||Graphs|
Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY
Updated: 7:01 AM EST
|Temperature: 32 °F||Dew Point: 31 °F||Humidity: 96%||Wind: NW at 7 mph||Pressure: -||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 26 °F||Graphs|
Location: Wastewater plant, Somerset, KY
Updated: 7:18 AM EST
|Temperature: 32.4 °F||Dew Point: 31 °F||Humidity: 94%||Wind: NE at 3.7 mph||Pressure: 30.24 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 29 °F||Graphs|
Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY
Updated: 7:41 AM EST
|Temperature: 32.2 °F||Dew Point: 29 °F||Humidity: 89%||Wind: North at 3.0 mph||Pressure: 30.49 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 32 °F||Graphs|
Location: Woods Edge Drive, Somerset, KY
Updated: 7:40 AM EST
|Temperature: 32.7 °F||Dew Point: 30 °F||Humidity: 88%||Wind: North at -||Pressure: 30.53 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 33 °F||Graphs|
Updated: 7:35 AM EST
|Temperature: 30.1 °F||Dew Point: 29 °F||Humidity: 94%||Wind: North at 3.0 mph||Pressure: 30.38 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 30 °F||Graphs|
Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY
Updated: 7:41 AM EST
|Temperature: 30.6 °F||Dew Point: 29 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.40 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 31 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 714 am EST Monday Mar 2 2015 Update... issued at 658 am EST Monday Mar 2 2015 Updated the hourly grids through 14z this morning to add in some patchy drizzle. The precipitation has been a bit slower to exit the area than the forecast had been calling for...so the update was necessary. Also...there have been a few reports of a light glaze of ice on cars and other elevated surfaces around the area...including some area roads. Slick roads will be a possibility for areas the received rain overnight and that are below freezing. Temperatures should be warm enough by 9 or 10 am for any slicks on areas to have melted and cleared up. && Short term...(today through tuesday) issued at 305 am EST Monday Mar 2 2015 An area of light rain showers will continue to move across the area early this morning along an eastward advancing cold front. The front is expected to move fairly slowly...so the rain accompanying it is forecast to last through 11 or 12z this morning. Areas of fog will continue be an issue through early this morning as well. The precipitation and fog should be gone by between 12 and 13z. Once the front has moved off well to our east...eastern Kentucky should remain precipitation through late this evening. Our next round of active weather will begin to affect the area late Monday night into Tuesday as a weak impulse that is forecast to move out of the Southern Plains...phases with a large scale upper trough that is expected to move out of the central rockys and across the northern plains and Great Lakes region. The southern system will eventually morph into a warm front as it begins to merge with the northern system. As this boundary moves north across central and eastern Kentucky...light rain is expected to break out along it. At the onset of the event...warm moist air aloft will push across and north of the front...overriding cold air at the surface. Freezing rain...sleet...and perhaps even some snow will be possible as the rain falls into the cold air below. The good news is that the warm front should move through the area quickly enough to prevent any significant ice accumulations from occurring. The warm front is then prognosticated to stall just to our north. After this happens...a wave of low pressure will form along the boundary and begin pushing the boundary eastward. This will allow cold air from the northern and Central Plains to also begin pushing east...transforming the boundary into a potent cold front. Widespread rain will accompany the cold front as it moves slowly east across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. The rain could be heavy at times and could lead to flooding problems across the area. Areas particularly prone to flooding will be the Kentucky...Cumberland...and Big Sandy river basins...whose headwater areas still have a good deal of snow cover in place. Enough snow has already melted across eastern Kentucky to cause the ground to be completely saturated. Any additional rainfall that occurs over the next few days will runoff almost immediately into area creeks...streams...and rivers. This situation will need to monitored closely. Temperatures during the short term will start out quite a bit below normal...with todays highs expected to top out in the low to middle 40s across the area. Tonights temperatures will not cool off nearly as much as we have seen the past several nights...as winds will eventually shift the southeast...leading to downslope warming in our east and allowing for warm air advection at the surface. The main push of warm air is expected to take place during the day on Tuesday...as winds shift to the south and begin advecting warm air directly off the Gulf of Mexico into the region. Highs on Tuesday could easily maximum out in the middle to upper 50s area wide. Long term...(tuesday night through sunday) issued at 430 am EST Monday Mar 2 2015 The extended forecast period begins on Tuesday night with a rather active and high amplitude pattern in place. Underway and already impacting the Ohio Valley at this time frame is an enlongated longwave trough over the central Continental U.S. With the trough axis extending southwest into The Four Corners region where a closed low lies entrenched over the Baja California region. During this time...a strong an active jet core extends from over the southwest to the Great Lakes region with the highest speeds with the jet maximum over the western Great Lakes of 140 to 160 knots. Heading into the day on Wednesday...the mentioned low over the Baja California ejects into the Southern Plains while the enlongated trough moves through the central Continental U.S.. the developed lift and dynamics over the MS valley and into the Ohio Valley is quite substantial at this time as the middle and upper level flow take a southwest to northeast trajectory. This sets the stage for pretty efficient rainfall at onset of the first system into Tuesday night and through the day on Wednesday and then another possible winter storm like event into middle week. This unfortunately exacerbates the concern for flooding in conjunction with the snowmelt and possibly even more snow on top of that. Concerning the lower levels...high pressure centered just off shore in the Atlantic nudging into the southern portions of the southeastern Continental U.S. Through the middle week will keep a nearly stalled southwest to northeast orientation of a surprisingly strong gradient surface cold front. The development of several waves in the middle levels along this front Tuesday night into Wednesday and through Thursday will keep a significant quantitative precipitation forecast over the area. This will once again keep flooding a threat with the amount of precipitation expected. An additional shot of moisture continues as the last wave rides northeast along the front and this feature finally kicks the surface low out to sea by Thursday night. It is Worth mentioning...that this pattern does not happen often...especially postfrontal heavy snowfall during the last half of the winter season. However...there does seem to be some consistency in the models and now the NAM and sref as this event has come into that time period. Ensemble means shown from westward products are indicating much more in the way of snow and have at least collaborated with westward to come up with some slightly lower snow values and snowfall forecasts are in line with those trends of collaboration. Another helpful indicator of at least the blocking needed for that southwest to northeast orientation of the nearly stalled front is the ensemble mean of the nao. A sharp drop in values from the nao product are occurring during the time of this systems set up. While not necessarily a sharp drop into negative values...this indication would be enough for some blocking over the Atlantic and is enough to have some confidence in the quantitative precipitation forecast and snowfall values displayed in the forecast. It is very possible to be going straight from a flood concern to a snowfall concern in a matter of 24 hours. As for snow ratios into Wednesday night and Thursday...there is some concern at onset of this system that some warm air aloft may create some freezing precipitation which would lower snow totals a bit. Given all this...the gradient moving through would ensure cold enough surface temperatures and therefore have gone with a strong mention in the severe weather potential statement. Quantitative precipitation forecast values will go from 2 to 2.50 inches and snowfall in the 6 to 8 inch range. The pattern GOES quite after Thursday with surface high pressure moving in and a noticeable lack of Arctic air that has usually been following these systems this winter...though still below normal highs for Friday. Saturday highs finally get back to near normal. By Sunday...another wave dropping into the Southern Plains assists in surface low development and this feature track north bringing additional possible winter weather to far southeastern Kentucky. Obviously...this system is way too far out to pin down winter precipitation if any. But it does continue to highlight an active and wet pattern through the extended. && Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Tuesday morning) issued at 714 am EST Monday Mar 2 2015 Prevailing conditions will vary from LIFR to MVFR at the tat sites early this morning. Low ceilings will likely persist for the next couple of hours as a departing cold front drags cold air into the region on northwest winds. Patchy freezing drizzle will be possible at jkl and loz for the next couple of hours...and could lead to a light glaze of ice forming on elevated surfaces and other objects. The precipitation should be out of the area by 9 am. The low ceiling we have been seeing around the area overnight and early this morning should finally being to improve by 14 or 14z...at which time MVFR ceilings should prevail at the taf sites. The clouds should be widely scattered by between 15 and 17z with mostly middle and high level clouds drifting across the sky. Another round of rain and wintry precipitation will be possible toward the end of the taf period...from roughly 8z Onward. && Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$ Update...Arkansas short term...Arkansas long term...shallenberger aviation...Arkansas