Monticello, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 86°
  • Clear
  • Wind: West 10 mph
  • Humidity: 62%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 72°
  • Pressure: 30.05 in. +
  • Heat Index: 92

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Next 12 Hours

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Thunderstorm
T-storms
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86°
81°
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72°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Monticello, Kentucky

Updated: 11:00 AM EDT on August 22, 2014

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 88F with a heat index of 93F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. Fog overnight. Low of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers in the morning, then overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 84F with a heat index of 90F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 84F with a heat index of 90F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 81F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 77F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Colonial Estates, Monticello, KY

Updated: 3:35 PM EDT

Temperature: 91.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: SE at 4.5 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Clover Pointe, Somerset, KY

Updated: 3:38 PM EDT

Temperature: 89.2 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: SSW at 6.9 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: Burnside, KY

Updated: 3:38 PM EDT

Temperature: 90.0 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: Calm Pressure: 26.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 3:01 PM EDT

Temperature: 88 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: SSW at 10 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: RMR - Somerset, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 3:29 PM EDT

Temperature: 90.1 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 3:38 PM EDT

Temperature: 89.3 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
335 PM EDT Friday Aug 22 2014 


Short term...(this evening through Saturday night) 
issued at 335 PM EDT Friday Aug 22 2014 


18z surface analysis shows a convectively washed out boundary just north 
of the Ohio River. This leads back west to a developing area of low 
pressure over the High Plains. Meanwhile...an area of high pressure 
is found through the deep south. Aloft...a fairly strong ridge of 
high heights stretches from the Southern Plains through the lower 
Mississippi River valley and across the deep south while troughing 
is found over New England. Between these upper level features...a 
couple of shortwaves are passing by to the northeast. The leading one 
of these is responsible for better development of convection over far 
eastern Kentucky and western West Virginia. Elsewhere...to the west 
of this area...a few scattered showers and thunderstorms are taking 
shape along an old outflow boundary from the pre dawn mesoscale convective system that moved 
through Ohio early this morning. With the bulk of the activity 
holding off until later in the afternoon...temperatures have climbed 
into the upper 80s for most locations with a few 90 degree readings 
noted. Dewpoints in the lower and middle 70s are making for miserable 
heat indices through the area and will be providing fuel for storm 
development. Winds are generally from the west southwest at 5 to 10 
kts with a few gusts to 15 kts. 


The models are in good agreement through the short term aloft as they 
all wobble and weaken slightly the ridge to our west in the face of 
the New England trough dropping nearly due south to the middle Atlantic 
coast by Sunday morning. Despite the movement of these larger 
features...the track of shortwaves will continue to pass through far 
eastern Kentucky...just orientated more north to south by the end of 
the period. Given the model agreement and the smaller scale nature of 
the periodic mesoscale convective system activity have favored the higher resolution models 
like the hrrr and nam12 for this forecast. 


Sensible weather will feature a threat of storms into the evening... 
perhaps lengthened by any development to the northwest that could 
move into at least the northwest portion of the jkl County Warning Area after dark... 
per the latest hrrr. Similar to last evening...the main threats 
with any storms will be gusty winds and torrential downpours of rain. 
Again tonight...would anticipate patchy fog through the area and the 
potential for dense spots locally given any clearing. After a muggy 
night...another warm and humid day can be expected for Saturday with 
middle level chances of showers and thunderstorms through the entirety 
with only a slight favoring of the late afternoon and early evening 
hours. High precipitable waters  and instability during the day will set The Table for 
a continued threat of excessive rainfall and strong storms...though 
the severe risk will be limited by a generally benign northwest wind 
field aloft. Similarly...Saturday night will be another muggy and 
warm one with patchy fog anticipated for places that would have seen 
rain during the day. Cannot rule out additional shower and storm 
activity into early Sunday given the upper level pattern and nearby 
surface boundaries. 


Again used the consshort as a starting point for the T/TD/winds 
through the first 24 hours and the superblend thereafter. Made some 
minor adjustments based on terrain for lows tonight and Saturday 
night. As for probability of precipitation...ended up in between the mav and the wetter met 
guidance for most of the short term portion of the forecast. 




Long term...(sunday through friday) 
issued at 255 PM EDT Friday Aug 22 2014 


Strong ridging will continue to develop over the eastern Continental U.S. Late 
in the weekend through the early part of next week. As the center of 
the high pushes overhead early next week...it will send some 
slightly drier air into eastern Kentucky...finally bringing a 
temporary end to the rain chances. Have been going with low probability of precipitation 
early next week...but given the nature of the dry air...have opted 
to go with dry weather early to middle part of next week. In 
fact...dewpoints may get low enough to warrant a few temperatures 
into the lower and middle 60s Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. Cannot 
rule out some showers on Sunday or Sunday evening prior to the 
departure of the better middle level moisture. However...even this 
activity will likely be less than what we have seen recently. 
Thus...overall...look for a quieter stretch of weather into the 
middle of next week. By late in the period. The ridge may begin to 
break down as a shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes 
pushes a boundary southward into the Ohio River valley. Too much 
uncertainty with this boundary to go with anything more than chance 
probability of precipitation from Thursday Onward. The 00z European model (ecmwf) had put the boundary over 
eastern Kentucky...but the 12z run has kept it to the north through 
weeks end. If the boundary stays north...probably going to see 
warmer and humid conditions persisting through the second half of 
next week. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon) 
issued at 200 PM EDT Friday Aug 22 2014 


Still awaiting development of storms through east Kentucky this 
afternoon. Without a clear indication of where they will be popping 
and affecting the taf sites have left them with thunderstorms in the vicinity through the rest 
of the day and into the evening before backing off to just some vcsh 
and light fog later tonight. With the high level of moisture out 
there some of the decks of clouds have come in rather low for the 
middle of the day...especially in the northeast parts of the area. 
Expect this to be the case intermittently through the first part of 
the evening and also with any storm...however...much of the time at 
the sites ceilings will be VFR if there at all. A similar set up for 
tomorrow will continue the threat of showers and storms through the 
day with a potential for MVFR ceilings and visible with any convection. Winds 
through the period will be light and variable expect during peak 
heating when some mainly westerly breezes will top out between 5 and 
10 kts. 


&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...greif 
long term...kas 
aviation...greif 



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