Updated: 2:31 PM EST on February 13, 2016
Cold. Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 10 to 15. Light winds.
A chance of snow in the morning...then snow in the afternoon. Snow accumulation around 1 inch. Highs in the lower 30s. Light winds. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Snow. Snow accumulation around 3 inches. Total snow accumulation around 4 inches. Lows in the lower 30s. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph late. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
Rain or snow in the morning...then rain in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the evening. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Cloudy with rain showers likely and a slight chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower 40s.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 1 PM Sunday to 10 am
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for accumulating snow... which is in effect from
1 PM Sunday to 10 am EST Monday.
* Timing... snow will move into east central Kentucky by 1pm
Sunday... spreading across all of eastern Kentucky by late
afternoon. Snow will then intensify and become more widespread
Sunday evening and through Sunday night... before transitioning
to rain by mid morning Monday.
* Snow accumulations... generally 3 to 5 inches of total snowfall
is expected from Sunday through mid morning Monday.
* Impacts... travel conditions will be affected as roads will become
snow covered and slippery. This will likely affect the Monday
morning commute. Further more... visibilities may be reduced in
some of the heavier snow showers.
A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Updated: 6:24 PM EST
|Temperature: 23.5 °F||Dew Point: 7 °F||Humidity: 48%||Wind: NNW at 2.7 mph||Pressure: 30.34 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 24 °F||Graphs|
Location: Bryan (LazyDaze), Jamestown, KY
Updated: 5:32 PM CST
|Temperature: 23.5 °F||Dew Point: -1 °F||Humidity: 34%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.06 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 24 °F||Graphs|
Location: RMR - Somerset, Ferguson, KY
Updated: 6:24 PM EST
|Temperature: 23.3 °F||Dew Point: 8 °F||Humidity: 51%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.56 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 23 °F||Graphs|
Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY
Updated: 6:31 PM EST
|Temperature: 23.7 °F||Dew Point: 8 °F||Humidity: 51%||Wind: NNW at 1.0 mph||Pressure: 30.54 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 24 °F||Graphs|
Location: APRSWXNET, Acorn, KY
Updated: 5:55 PM EST
|Temperature: 25 °F||Dew Point: 8 °F||Humidity: 47%||Wind: NE at 1 mph||Pressure: 30.51 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 25 °F||Graphs|
Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY
Updated: 6:32 PM EST
|Temperature: 21.0 °F||Dew Point: 4 °F||Humidity: 48%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.48 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 21 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 350 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 Short term...(this evening through Sunday night) issued at 342 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 As high pressure moved into the region from the northwest today...much of eastern Kentucky experienced northwest flow...enhanced in the middle and upper levels by a strong upper level troughing pattern. This northwest flow allowed moisture from Lake Michigan to flow as far south as eastern Kentucky...and resulted in scattered patches of snow flurries throughout the day...especially across the northern and far eastern County Warning Area. As high pressure settles in closer to the region this afternoon...winds will continue to lighten and prevent best moisture from protruding so far southward into the Ohio Valley...cutting off any further flurry activity. Otherwise...with high pressure passing overhead overnight...the main element of concern will be temperatures. Strong northwest to southeast flow in the middle and upper levels will continue to pull drier but much colder Arctic air into the region. With mostly clear to partly cloudy skies expected through the first part of the night...strong subsidence will form...and maximum radiational cooling will ensue. It is likely that many of the deeper valleys will see single digit temperatures by dawn on Sunday...while most of the ridges will be lucky to see the teens. This coupled with light winds could result in wind chills around 0 or even several degrees below in some locations. Behind the exiting high pressure on Sunday...winds will become more southerly...with temperatures rising back into the middle 20s to low 30s. Meanwhile...an upper level wave will begin strengthening across the upper Midwest...moving eastward towards the Mississippi River valley during the day. Veering surface winds in wake of the departing ridge will usher in warmer air aloft later tonight into Sunday. This will help draw a stream of Gulf moisture north ahead of this upper disturbance. Top-down moistening will lead to increasing high-middle cloud cover from late tonight through the day Sunday...before low clouds and resulting snow commences Sunday afternoon. As temperatures fall several degrees Sunday night...we can pretty much ensure that all precipitation between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning will fall in the form of snow. The NAM continues to be the most aggressive on timing...and the outlier as such...so trended more towards a European model (ecmwf) and GFS solution for both timing and snow ratios. Generally agreed with wpc quantitative precipitation forecast guidance...which when paired with forecasted snow ratios...resulted in total snowfall across the region between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning in the 2.5 to 4.5 range. Due to the elongated nearly 24 hour time period of snow...this only falls into advisory criteria. After some good collaboration with neighboring offices...we decided to hoist our advisory with a start time of 18z Sunday...and ending 15z Monday. Long term...(monday through saturday) issued at 350 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 Wave responsible for the system on Monday has just moved onshore and should be sampled better by our upper air network this evening for the 00z models. In the meantime...we are still dealing with some model discrepancies...and will stay close to a blended approach as possible to hedge from the various solutions. As it stands now...looks like a snow should transition over to rain Monday morning as a somewhat deep wedge of warm air spreads northward Monday morning across eastern Kentucky. Where the models differ, is how wrapped up the system gets and thus how far north the warm air can make it. For now...opting to go with the rain for much of the day Monday. It does appear as moisture pulls out Monday night...we may see snow mix back in or completely change back over. However...models are suggesting a faster end to the precipitation Monday night...so any accumulations may be more limited. The brief lull will be short into Tuesday as another clipper dives south across the area. Right now...models are favoring a more northern track...which would keep all precipitation primarily rain at the onset Tuesday afternoon/evening. As the system passes by...cold air will spread back in and we may see a changeover to snow with some very light accumulations possible. Much like the past few systems...light flurries/snow showers could linger well into Wednesday before dissipating. Finally we should dry out heading into Thursday and Friday as heights start to build over the region. This will yield a more significant warm up as we head into the late week period. Another system may push across the area late Friday. && Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Sunday afternoon) issued at 1223 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2016 High pressure will continue to move into the region today...promoting northwest flow but keeping winds generally less than 10 knots as we continue to lose pressure gradients. As a result of this northwest flow...we are still tapping into some moisture coming off of Lake Michigan...which will promote snow flurry activity throughout the afternoon across portions of eastern Kentucky...mainly at ksjs... ksym...and possibly kjkl. Otherwise...VFR conditions should remain in control as we head into the overnight. Northwest winds will veer northeasterly this evening and tonight as high-middle clouds gradually lower through 12z Sunday in response to an approaching system to our west. While VFR conditions will likely be in place through Sunday morning...expect deteriorating conditions throughout the day as snow starts to move into the region && Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM Sunday to 10 am EST Monday for kyz044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. && $$ Short term...jmw long term...kas aviation...jmw