Monticello, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Freeze Watch , Special Statement View All Alerts

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Current Conditions

  • 36°
  • Light Drizzle
  • Wind: NW 7 mph
  • Humidity: 93%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 34°
  • Pressure: 30.02 in. +
  • Heat Index: 30

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Next 12 Hours

11  pm
2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
36°
36°
34°
32°
32°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 27 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 28 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 37 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Monticello, Kentucky

Updated: 11:00 PM EDT on October 31, 2014

Freeze watch in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday morning...
  • Friday

    Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain showers in the afternoon. High of 50F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90%.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast with snow showers and rain showers. Low of 32F with a windchill as low as 25F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 80%.

  • Saturday

    Overcast with a chance of snow, then a chance of snow and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 41F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 27F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Overcast in the morning, then clear. High of 64F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 37F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast. High of 66F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast. Low of 46F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast. High of 64F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 46F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 61F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 55F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 27F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Freeze Watch  Statement as of 7:08 PM EDT on October 31, 2014


... Freeze watch remains in effect from Saturday evening through
Sunday morning...

A freeze watch remains in effect from Saturday evening through
Sunday morning.

* Temperatures... widespread sub-freezing temperatures are
expected on Saturday night... with lows bottoming out in the
mid to upper 20s.

* Timing... temperatures will fall below freezing after midnight
on Saturday night and remain below freezing until mid morning
Sunday morning.

* Impacts... most crops and other sensitive vegetation will
likely get killed across all of eastern Kentucky late Saturday
night into Sunday morning... effectively ending the growing
season.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible.
These conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.




 Special Statement  Statement as of 9:42 PM EDT on October 31, 2014


... Shot of winter weather tonight into Saturday morning...
... Freeze watch in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday
morning...

A strong cold front has ushered colder air into the commonwealth. An
upper level low will bring wintry precipitation through Saturday.
Temperatures will continue to drop overnight... and rain or a mix of
rain and snow will gradually transition to all snow. The changeover
to all snow will occur first at elevations of 1000 feet and above...
and the latest in the deeper valleys. The snow will gradually wind
down and end a touch of drizzle or light rain by late Saturday
afternoon.

Most of the snow accumulations will reside on grassy and elevated
surfaces due to warm ground temperatures. Accumulations of an inch or
less are anticipated by dawn across the Bluegrass region... and
portions of northeast and south central Kentucky... but due to the
warm ground temperatures... expect most of this snow to melt fairly
quickly on Saturday morning.

In addition... sub-freezing temperatures are expected Saturday and
Sunday night. A freeze may occur in the I-75 corridor Saturday
night... with a hard freeze and widespread frost expected area-wide
Sunday night. Those with sensitive plants will need to take action to
protect them through the weekend.

Jmw/jp




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: RAWS SOMERSET KY US, Ferguson, KY

Updated: 10:01 PM EDT

Temperature: 38 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: WSW at 8 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY

Updated: 10:53 PM EDT

Temperature: 37.1 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: NNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 34 °F Graphs

Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY

Updated: 10:56 PM EDT

Temperature: 36.5 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: South at 8.0 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 
819 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Update... 
issued at 722 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Temperatures have trended colder than the previous forecast immediately 
behind the cold front dropping south and is nearing the Virginia border 
at this time. This is leading to several reports of a rain and snow mix 
across the region...particularly in locations at 1000 feet and above. 
The hourly grids have been adjusted accordingly. Overnight lows 
still look on target though at this time. Trends will be evaluated this 
evening to see if any adjustments might be needed to the headlines. 


&& 


Short term...(this evening through Saturday night) 
issued at 413 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


500mb low is currently making its way southward into the Ohio River 
valley...with all models agreeing on it/S movement into central Kentucky 
around 0z this evening...and exiting to the south of the region 
between 6 and 12z. At the surface...a cold front has just swept east 
of the state...pulling an area of prefrontal rain out of the County Warning Area 
over the next few hours. There will be a Short Gap in the 
precipitation...as is currently indicated by the radar...before the 
deformation zone of the closed low brings yet another round of 
showers to the region late this afternoon and evening. Temperatures 
are still on track to drop around or just below freezing between 6 
and 12z tonight. However...given the expected borderline freezing 
temperatures...and the ongoing rain and snow potential...decided to go 
ahead and cancel the freeze advisory. It will be highly unlikely 
that we will see any frost form overnight with these conditions. 


With temperatures dropping near or below freezing...still expecting rain to 
switch to snow overnight...and then transitioning back to rain 
during the daytime hours tomorrow. It is likely that the highest 
elevations...and areas across the western County Warning Area will drop below 
freezing first...so have snow developing in these locations as early 
as 0z...with most of the region transitioning to all snow between 06 
and 09z. Several things have changed from the previous forecast from 
the midnight shift. New model runs brought in a stronger area of 
Omega near 12z this morning...signifying the possibility for a 
stronger band to move through the region around this time. 
Also...the westward image seemed to be catching on to this trend...and 
was placing more widespread one inch amounts across much of the 
western portion of the County Warning Area...and into lmk and iln/S area. Ended up 
increasing quantitative precipitation forecast slightly during the 06 to 12z time frame...and also 
upped the snow totals slightly from a dusting to around 0.5 to 1.0 
inch. Despite this...still expect what snow that does fall to most 
likely melt fairly quickly...especially in the western portion of 
the County Warning Area. Given the higher amounts...some of the higher terrain even 
in central Kentucky /including here at kjkl/ could see snowfall amounts in 
excess of 1 to 2 inches. Given that this is the first snowfall of 
the year...and many of these ridges are populated...and that it is 
the first of the month...decided to go ahead and add on to the 
ongoing advisory...extending it as far west as jkl. 


Snow will slowly transition back to rain through middle morning 
tomorrow...before the entire system quickly exits to the southeast. Dry air 
will slowly work in...with probability of precipitation expected to slowly taper off from 
Saturday afternoon to Saturday night. Given such...a strong blast of 
cold air is expected to interject into the region. Despite ongoing 
cloud cover insulation...cold air advection will be strong enough to overcome...and 
temperatures should drop well below freezing. What precipitation is lingering in 
the eastern portion of the region will likely Switch Back to a 
mixture of rain...freezing rain /which should have very little 
impacts/...drizzle...freezing drizzle...and snow. Will keep the 
freeze watch out for this time period...but impacts of the weather 
should not require any further headlines. 


Long term...(sunday through friday) 
issued at 345 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


As the dynamic ul system works its way up the Atlantic Seaboard 
towards New England...an unseasonably cold air mass is left in its 
wake. Sunday morning temperatures are expected to be the coldest of 
the season with lows in the middle to upper 20s. Sub-freezing 
temperatures are also expected Monday morning. However...as high 
pressure builds into our region...temperatures will gradually warm 
through mid-week. Southerly to southwesterly winds will help usher 
in warmer and more humid air during this period with high 
temperatures peaking in the low to middle 60s on Wednesday. A cold 
front will push through eastern Kentucky Wednesday 
afternoon/evening...but this is where there are discrepancies in the 
models...mainly with the interactions between the northern and 
southern stream energy. The 00z European model (ecmwf) shows the frontal precipitation 
pushing through our County Warning Area between 12z Wednesday and 00z Thursday. 
However...the 06z GFS is slower with the fronts mvmt...and shows 
precipitation lingering from 18z Wednesday all the way through 00z Friday. 
So until models come into better agreement with the frontal 
system...decided to be fairly modest with the probability of precipitation and precipitation 
amounts. Quiet weather will end the work week as a weak ridge of 
high pressure builds over the region. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Saturday evening) 
issued at 810 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Rain has already begun to mix with snow across the region this 
evening behind a cold front. MVFR or lower ceilings and or visible can be 
expected for at least the first 12 to 18 hours of the period as the 
upper level low drops south across the area and rounds of 
precipitation continue. The precipitation should change to all snow or 
mostly snow by 6z or 9z and then around 15z to 18z...transition back 
to rain or a rain and snow mix. Winds should remain out of the west to 
northwest through the taf period...between 5 and 15kt. 


&& 


Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... 
freeze watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for 
kyz044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. 


Winter Weather Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for kyz088-118. 


Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for kyz085>087- 
109-110-112-113-115>117-120. 


&& 


$$ 


Update...jp 
short term...jmw 
long term...jvm 
aviation...jp 



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