Updated: 2:23 PM EDT on August 4, 2015
Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Light winds.
Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Light winds.
Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
... Rain gauge reports from overnight rainfall...
Thunderstorms targeted parts of northeast Kentucky overnight producing
very heavy rainfall and some flash flooding. Below are rainfall totals
from human read and automated rain gauges in the hardest hit areas.
Only stations reported at least an inch of rain have been included in
ID station name lat/Lon pcpn
Nftk2 Morehead fire IFLOWS (rowan) 38.20/-83.48 3.27
mtsk2 Mount Sterling 5n (montgomery) 38.06/-83.93 3.05
prstky Owingsville 4s (bath) 38.09/-83.76 3.03
plok2 Peeled Oak IFLOWS (bath) 38.06/-83.80 2.83
mrdk2 Morehead (rowan) 38.18/-83.47 2.75
bdhk2 Bald Hill IFLOWS (fleming) 38.35/-83.71 2.07
mrhdky Morehead 4ne (rowan) 38.22/-83.48 1.94
rnvk2 Reynoldsville IFLOWS (bath) 38.19/-83.82 1.86
srkk2 Sharkey (fleming) 38.25/-83.57 1.76
stqk2 stone Quarry IFLOWS (menifee) 37.99/-83.62 1.47
trmk2 Triangle Mountain (rowan) 38.17/-83.41 1.38
gimk2 Gimlet 9n (elliott) 38.22/-83.13 1.35
frmk2 cave run farmers (bath) 38.14/-83.56 1.26
crlk2 Cave Run Lake (rowan) 38.12/-83.53 1.22
jkl Jackson ASOS (breathitt) 37.60/-83.32 1.22
kyrw03 Morehead 6.4ne (rowan) 38.24/-83.34 1.05
welk2 Wellington (menifee) 37.95/-83.48 1.03
csyk2 Cressy (estill 37.83/-84.04 1.02
Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposure. Not all data listed are considered official.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Updated: 3:52 PM EDT
|Temperature: 93.0 °F||Dew Point: 74 °F||Humidity: 54%||Wind: NW at 3.7 mph||Pressure: 29.87 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Heat Index: 103 °F||Graphs|
Location: Old Decker Road, Bronston, KY
Updated: 3:50 PM EDT
|Temperature: 94.3 °F||Dew Point: 70 °F||Humidity: 45%||Wind: North at -||Pressure: 29.83 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Heat Index: 100 °F||Graphs|
Location: Wastewater plant, Somerset, KY
Updated: 3:50 PM EDT
|Temperature: 91.9 °F||Dew Point: 74 °F||Humidity: 56%||Wind: NW at 6.8 mph||Pressure: 29.70 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Heat Index: 102 °F||Graphs|
Location: LazyDaze, Jamestown, KY
Updated: 2:53 PM CDT
|Temperature: 90.9 °F||Dew Point: 76 °F||Humidity: 61%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.63 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 102 °F||Graphs|
Location: RMR - Somerset, Ferguson, KY
Updated: 3:46 PM EDT
|Temperature: 90.0 °F||Dew Point: 75 °F||Humidity: 62%||Wind: SW at 1.0 mph||Pressure: 29.94 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 101 °F||Graphs|
Location: South Fork Furniture, Liberty, KY
Updated: 3:47 PM EDT
|Temperature: 89.5 °F||Dew Point: 75 °F||Humidity: 63%||Wind: NW at 1.0 mph||Pressure: 29.93 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 100 °F||Graphs|
Location: APRSWXNET, Acorn, KY
Updated: 3:07 PM EDT
|Temperature: 88 °F||Dew Point: 73 °F||Humidity: 62%||Wind: NW at 1 mph||Pressure: 29.91 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 96 °F||Graphs|
Location: Woods Edge Drive, Somerset, KY
Updated: 3:50 PM EDT
|Temperature: 87.1 °F||Dew Point: 78 °F||Humidity: 74%||Wind: North at -||Pressure: 30.07 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Heat Index: 100 °F||Graphs|
Updated: 3:50 PM EDT
|Temperature: 85.7 °F||Dew Point: 73 °F||Humidity: 66%||Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph||Pressure: 29.84 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 93 °F||Graphs|
Location: HALLS BACKYARD WEATHER, SCIENCE HILL, KY
Updated: 3:53 PM EDT
|Temperature: 91.4 °F||Dew Point: 70 °F||Humidity: 50%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.85 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Heat Index: 97 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 124 PM EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 Update... issued at 1046 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 Boundary from last nights convection lies across the southwest part of the forecast area and will serve to focus convection this afternoon. Ndfd and associated products have been updated to account for latest observational trends. Delayed any precipitation chances until this afternoon. Update issued at 755 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 Current conditions across the area this morning feature some valley fog across eastern Kentucky. Did keep in some fog in the zones for this. Also removed some thunder from the morning wording as any convection should hold off till after 16z. This is confirmed by the high res models including the hrrr. Model soundings showing increased instability and weakening cap shortly after 15z and the boundary in place over the south will allow shower and thunderstorm activity to begin to develop by the afternoon. && Short term...(today through wednesday) issued at 430 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 Current conditions across eastern Kentucky features some waning convection ahead of a cold front. Will keep some slight chance probability of precipitation through dawn to cover this activity but overall...the weakened forcing and lack of instability will bring this activity to an end. Locations across the area received some heavy rainfall overnight and a saturated surface coupled with light winds...will see some fog development through dawn. Heading into the day...the front that passed through overnight will stall out over the Kentucky and Tennessee border area. The upper level flow sets up in a ridge over the west and trough over the east with numerous waves traveling over the ridge and into the Central Plains...eventually tracking into Kentucky. The next upper level wave will track into the southern Kentucky by late Tuesday. Plenty of surface instability along with the wave and a boundary in place will allow afternoon and evening convection over southern Kentucky with a slight chance to the north. This activity will take more of a diurnal trend to it with convection waning shortly after sunset. Surface high pressure passing by to the north Tuesday night will provide some subsidence and light winds once again combined with some dew points still in the middle 60s will lead to more fog development towards Wednesday morning. Timing of the next upper wave seems to be more later Wednesday into the evening and overnight. Though the track...with the surface boundary sliding a bit further south will make for a further track to the south for the surface low. This still is a bit of question as the tam and the GFS have been a bit inconsistent. Nevertheless...with the boundary still over the south and plenty of instability developing through the day...will keep precipitation chances in the forecast through Wednesday afternoon and into the evening. If the models are correct in the boundary lifting north any sooner...probability of precipitation will need to be increased. For now...will anticipate unorganized convection and diurnally driven convection...at least through Wednesday afternoon. Long term...(wednesday night through monday) issued at 529 am EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 The models are in general agreement with a modestly amplified long wave pattern to start out in the extended...featuring an upper level ridge near the Desert Southwest...with troughing in the Mississippi Valley and near the Continental Divide. Through the weekend...troughing will be more confined to the eastern Seaboard...with the ridge shifting east towards the arklatex region. By early next week...the pattern will amplify...with troughing in the far west...and over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley regions...while the ridge holds fast across the middle of the Continental U.S.. details associated with the evolution of the pattern remain lower confidence...especially for the second half of the period. As such...stayed pretty close to the offered blended guidance. Probability of precipitation will be ramping up to likely across eastern Kentucky through Thursday and Thursday night...as a more defined middle-level wave along with a surface front take aim at the area. The boundary will linger close by through Friday...before sagging southeast and dissipating by next weekend to allow for mainly dry weather. As the trough amplifies across the Ohio Valley next weekend...the boundary will sharpen up in the vicinity...however given the lower confidence on how all of this takes place...will stick with the return of only slight chance probability of precipitation by Monday. Temperatures will average near normal through the period. && Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon) issued at 124 PM EDT Tuesday Aug 4 2015 A stalled front remains in place across Kentucky. This will serve as a focus for isolated to scattered thunderstorms late this afternoon and evening. The chance of any specific taf site being affected is low...and expect any storms to mainly occur across the SW half of the forecast area. With this in mind will carry thunderstorms in the vicinity at jkl...loz and sme for a few hours beginning at 21z. Fog is expected to develop late tonight...reducing visibility to IFR or worse until around 13z on Wednesday. Outside of any thunderstorms or late night/early morning fog...VFR conditions will prevail. && Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$ Update...sbh short term...shallenberger long term...geogerian aviation...sbh