Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on October 31, 2014
Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain showers in the afternoon. High of 50F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 90%.
Overcast with rain showers, then snow showers after midnight. Low of 32F with a windchill as low as 23F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 90% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.
Overcast with snow showers, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 25F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 60% .
Partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 43F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. High of 68F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 48F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy. High of 66F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 46F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 64F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 54F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 63F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 37F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
... Freeze watch remains in effect from Saturday evening through
... Freeze watch is cancelled for tonight...
The National Weather Service in Jackson has cancelled the freeze
watch for tonight. A freeze watch remains in effect from Saturday evening
through Sunday morning.
* Temperatures... widespread sub-freezing temperatures are expected
on Saturday night... with lows bottoming out in the mid to upper
* Timing... temperatures will fall below freezing after midnight on
Saturday night and remain below freezing until mid morning Sunday
* Impacts... most crops and other sensitive vegetation will likely get
killed across all of eastern Kentucky late Saturday night into
Sunday morning... effectively ending the growing season.
A freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible.
These conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.
... Freeze watch in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday
A developing area of low pressure will send a strong cold front south
across eastern Kentucky late today into tonight. This low pressure
system and associated cold front will produce periods of
precipitation from today through Saturday. Temperatures are expected
to drop sharply this evening into the overnight hours. These falling
temperatures will allow rain to mix with and gradually change to
snow... starting in the highest elevations along the Virginia border
early this evening... and eventually transitioning to the lower
elevation areas throughout east Kentucky. The snow will gradually
wind down early Saturday afternoon... possibly ending as a touch of
drizzle or light rain.
Most of the snow accumulations will reside on grassy and elevated
surfaces due to warm ground temperatures. Accumulations of a dusting
to one inch are possible across the Bluegrass region and portions of
northeast Kentucky... but due to the warm ground temperatures...
expect most of this snow to melt fairly quickly.
In addition... sub-freezing temperatures are expected Saturday and
Sunday night. A freeze may occur in the I-75 corridor Saturday
night... with a hard freeze and widespread frost expected area-wide
Sunday night. Those with sensitive plants will need to take action to
protect them through the weekend.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: MSWO, London, KY
Updated: 5:55 PM EDT
|Temperature: 39.2 °F||Dew Point: 36 °F||Humidity: 87%||Wind: WNW at 17.5 mph||Pressure: 29.85 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.04 in||Windchill: 30 °F||Graphs|
Location: Denny Subdivision, Mount Vernon, KY
Updated: 5:54 PM EDT
|Temperature: 37.0 °F||Dew Point: 36 °F||Humidity: 95%||Wind: NW at 8.5 mph||Pressure: 29.97 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in||Windchill: 31 °F||Graphs|
Location: Southern McKee, McKee, KY
Updated: 5:55 PM EDT
|Temperature: 39.7 °F||Dew Point: 36 °F||Humidity: 87%||Wind: NNW at 4.2 mph||Pressure: 29.93 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.10 in||Windchill: 37 °F||Graphs|
Location: Mackey Bend, Barbourville, KY
Updated: 5:55 PM EDT
|Temperature: 44.8 °F||Dew Point: 44 °F||Humidity: 99%||Wind: SSW at 3.7 mph||Pressure: 29.92 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.09 in||Windchill: 43 °F||Graphs|
Location: liford's, Barbourville, KY
Updated: 5:47 PM EDT
|Temperature: 45.7 °F||Dew Point: 45 °F||Humidity: 99%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.74 in||Hourly Precipitation: -||Windchill: 46 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky 414 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 Short term...(this evening through Saturday night) issued at 413 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 500mb low is currently making its way southward into the Ohio River valley...with all models agreeing on it/S movement into central Kentucky around 0z this evening...and exiting to the south of the region between 6 and 12z. At the surface...a cold front has just swept east of the state...pulling an area of prefrontal rain out of the County Warning Area over the next few hours. There will be a Short Gap in the precipitation...as is currently indicated by the radar...before the deformation zone of the closed low brings yet another round of showers to the region late this afternoon and evening. Temperatures are still on track to drop around or just below freezing between 6 and 12z tonight. However...given the expected borderline freezing temperatures...and the ongoing rain and snow potential...decided to go ahead and cancel the freeze advisory. It will be highly unlikely that we will see any frost form overnight with these conditions. With temperatures dropping near or below freezing...still expecting rain to switch to snow overnight...and then transitioning back to rain during the daytime hours tomorrow. It is likely that the highest elevations...and areas across the western County Warning Area will drop below freezing first...so have snow developing in these locations as early as 0z...with most of the region transitioning to all snow between 06 and 09z. Several things have changed from the previous forecast from the midnight shift. New model runs brought in a stronger area of Omega near 12z this morning...signifying the possibility for a stronger band to move through the region around this time. Also...the westward image seemed to be catching on to this trend...and was placing more widespread one inch amounts across much of the western portion of the County Warning Area...and into lmk and iln/S area. Ended up increasing quantitative precipitation forecast slightly during the 06 to 12z time frame...and also upped the snow totals slightly from a dusting to around 0.5 to 1.0 inch. Despite this...still expect what snow that does fall to most likely melt fairly quickly...especially in the western portion of the County Warning Area. Given the higher amounts...some of the higher terrain even in central Kentucky /including here at kjkl/ could see snowfall amounts in excess of 1 to 2 inches. Given that this is the first snowfall of the year...and many of these ridges are populated...and that it is the first of the month...decided to go ahead and add on to the ongoing advisory...extending it as far west as jkl. Snow will slowly transition back to rain through middle morning tomorrow...before the entire system quickly exits to the southeast. Dry air will slowly work in...with probability of precipitation expected to slowly taper off from Saturday afternoon to Saturday night. Given such...a strong blast of cold air is expected to interject into the region. Despite ongoing cloud cover insulation...cold air advection will be strong enough to overcome...and temperatures should drop well below freezing. What precipitation is lingering in the eastern portion of the region will likely Switch Back to a mixture of rain...freezing rain /which should have very little impacts/...drizzle...freezing drizzle...and snow. Will keep the freeze watch out for this time period...but impacts of the weather should not require any further headlines. Long term...(sunday through friday) issued at 345 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 As the dynamic ul system works its way up the Atlantic Seaboard towards New England...an unseasonably cold air mass is left in its wake. Sunday morning temperatures are expected to be the coldest of the season with lows in the middle to upper 20s. Sub-freezing temperatures are also expected Monday morning. However...as high pressure builds into our region...temperatures will gradually warm through mid-week. Southerly to southwesterly winds will help usher in warmer and more humid air during this period with high temperatures peaking in the low to middle 60s on Wednesday. A cold front will push through eastern Kentucky Wednesday afternoon/evening...but this is where there are discrepancies in the models...mainly with the interactions between the northern and southern stream energy. The 00z European model (ecmwf) shows the frontal precipitation pushing through our County Warning Area between 12z Wednesday and 00z Thursday. However...the 06z GFS is slower with the fronts mvmt...and shows precipitation lingering from 18z Wednesday all the way through 00z Friday. So until models come into better agreement with the frontal system...decided to be fairly modest with the probability of precipitation and precipitation amounts. Quiet weather will end the work week as a weak ridge of high pressure builds over the region. && Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon) issued at 156 PM EDT Friday Oct 31 2014 Clouds have shown a lowering trend throughout the day today...now hovering around the 500 to 700 feet IFR range. Given the latest data...expect these IFR ceilings to stick around through much of the taf period...perhaps fluctuating slightly up and slightly down into LIFR throughout the night. The first band of pre-frontal rain is currently moving eastward and exiting the County Warning Area. Ksjs and kjkl can expect to see scattered showers for the next hour or so...before a brief break in the precipitation occurs. This will be short-lived however...as the next batch of precipitation is currently expanding across central Kentucky. This will be our main weather system as we head into the night. Expect this rain to continue to expand as it moves over eastern Kentucky. Then as temperatures drop overnight...rain is expected to gradually change to snow through Sat morning...before making the transition back to rain and coming to an end after the taf period. Tried to best reflect the change- over times from rain to snow in the tafs...though some slight adjustments may need to be made as we see how the temperatures react as we head into the overnight hours...especially for those taf sites that are at the highest elevations. West-northwest winds should continue through the taf period...increasing to 5 to 10 knots this evening and overnight. && Jkl watches/warnings/advisories... freeze watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for kyz044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday for kyz088-118. Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 PM EDT Saturday for kyz085>087-109-110-112-113-115>117-120. && $$ Short term...jmw long term...jvm aviation...jmw