Updated: 10:00 PM EST on November 23, 2014
Overcast with rain showers, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain showers in the afternoon. High of 59F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain showers, then rain showers after midnight. Low of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain showers, then rain showers in the afternoon. High of 59F. Windy. Winds from the SW at 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Partly cloudy. Low of 32F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 20 mph.
Clear. High of 43F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 20%.
Overcast with a chance of snow and a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 30F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20%.
Overcast. Fog early. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 21F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Overcast in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Low of 19F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 46F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Low of 36F with a windchill as low as 27F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 37F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph shifting to the West after midnight. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.
Partly cloudy. High of 61F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 15 mph.
Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 36F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 54F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. Fog early. High of 57F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Overcast. Fog overnight. Low of 46F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Fog early. High of 55F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.
... Wind Advisory in effect from 4 am EST /3 am CST/ to 7 PM EST
/6 PM CST/ Monday...
The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a Wind
Advisory... which is in effect from 4 am EST /3 am CST/ to 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ Monday.
* Winds... southwest winds will turn more westerly as a cold front
pushes through Monday morning. Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph
will be likely... with gusts up to 45 mph possible.
* Timing... winds will increase tonight into Monday morning... but
the strongest wind gusts will be from dawn Monday morning
through early Monday afternoon.
* Impacts... a few trees or power lines may be blown down. Isolated
power outages will be possible. Driving will be
difficult... especially if driving a high profile vehicle.
A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 to 39 mph or
wind gusts from 40 to 57 mph are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult... especially for high profile vehicles.
Weakened trees may also be blown over and unsecured outdoor
objects will be blown around by the wind. Use extra caution.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: Berwick Drive, Danville, KY
Updated: 11:40 PM EST
|Temperature: 58.7 °F||Dew Point: 57 °F||Humidity: 93%||Wind: SW at 9.0 mph||Pressure: 29.38 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Perryville, KY, Danville, KY
Updated: 11:41 PM EST
|Temperature: 60.1 °F||Dew Point: 60 °F||Humidity: 99%||Wind: NW at 19.7 mph||Pressure: 29.58 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.09 in||Graphs|
Updated: 11:42 PM EST
|Temperature: 59.0 °F||Dew Point: 59 °F||Humidity: 99%||Wind: WSW at 6.0 mph||Pressure: 29.45 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Louisville Kentucky 950 PM EST sun Nov 23 2014 ..forecast update... Issued at 950 PM EST sun Nov 23 2014 The forecast is in good shape -- just some tweaks made based on current radar trends and short term model projections. Area of showers currently over the lmk County Warning Area will continue to pull quickly off to the northeast. We will then get a break before the next wave of showers, over Missouri at 0245z, slides to the east-northeast across southern Indiana during the early morning hours on Monday. There could be a few rumbles of thunder with this activity as well. Headline still looks good, as do temperatures. Short term (now through Monday night)... issued at 225 PM EST Sat Nov 22 2014 ..strong winds expected early Monday through late Monday afternoon... The synoptic pattern this afternoon features two significant pv anomalies of note, one across the southeast with another further west across MO/AR. These anomalies will phase through the short term period, leading to a rapidly deepening surface low across the Midwest and Great Lakes region tonight into early Monday. The forecast is playing out largely as expected with this system thus far. Isentropic ascent on the nose of a 50-60 knot low-level jet has led to widespread shower development this afternoon. This activity will continue to develop and expand northeastward from the southwest late this afternoon into this evening, leading to a widespread swath of precipitation. Not overly sold on the thunder potential given mostly moist adiabatic lapse rates, but forecast soundings do show just enough elevated instability for an embedded rumble or two of thunder. Quantitative precipitation forecast amounts tonight look to range from a half inch across the eastern County Warning Area to around an inch across southern Indiana. The upper-level and associated surface pattern becomes a bit more complex tonight. One surface low seen swirling across portions of Alabama/la this afternoon will push north into Kentucky this evening. The pressure gradient will increase as this low approaches this evening into the overnight hours. However, it appears that low-level lapse rates will remain quite poor and a near-surface stable layer should limit our gusts below Wind Advisory criteria (gusts upwards of 40 mph) for this evening into the early overnight hours as this low swings through. However, sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph do appear possible. The main wind threat will come early Monday morning into Monday afternoon. The aforementioned pv anomalies will phase and a coupled jet structure will allow for a rapid deepening of the surface low across IL/in/mi. The pressure gradient will really increase across the Ohio Valley early Monday morning as a strong cold front sharpens out to the west. This front will push into the western County Warning Area around 12z Monday, clearing the eastern County Warning Area by around 18z. Low-level lapse rates will improve ahead and behind this front, meaning strong winds (around 50 knots just 3000 feet agl) should mix down. Will also have to watch for some convective showers/isolated thunderstorm right along the front as guidance continues to hint at some SBCAPE, which would aid in getting showers to a depth around 15k feet. This convective potential coupled with the strong low-level wind fields could make for a few isolated wind gusts perhaps approaching 50 mph Monday morning. However, think the synoptic wind gusts will be around 40-45 mph Monday morning into early Monday afternoon. Given these forecast wind speeds, will be hoisting a Wind Advisory for tomorrow. The pressure gradient will relax by Monday evening, which will allow the winds to die down a bit. Behind the front, much cooler air will spill into the region with overnight lows on Monday dropping into the low to mid 30s. Long term (tuesday through sunday)... issued at 300 PM EST sun Nov 23 2014 The first part of this forecast period has higher confidence, whereas the mid and latter part actually are coming up a little now that the 12z Euro has moved closer to the other model solutions. Tuesday, we'll see high pressure moving across the Ohio Valley, with temperatures back below normal (a condition likely to persist through this forecast period). Tuesday night will be chilly as well, with light winds and mostly clear skies. A hindrance to that may be thickening high clouds over the southeast forecast area, as a low pressure system deepens off the Georgia coast. The 12z European has changed its tune from the last several model runs about the low pressure system dropping into the Midwest Wednesday. The previous several runs called for a much deeper low, well outside of the spread of mslp in the ensembles from the GFS/Gem/NOGAPS. This run now is in line with the GFS, and is finally helping to increase the confidence in what the models are seeing. Thus the forecast will contain a little higher confidence in precip during the day Wednesday, which would be in the form of rain, as we see highs in the low to mid 40s. Wednesday night and even Thanksgiving morning, we will continue to see some chance for light snow across the area, as the flow aloft brings a fetch of moisture from the Great Lakes and works with some lift across our eastern forecast thanks to topography. We dry out for Friday and then get some warm air advection back in here Friday night, which may lead to some light precip, ahead of another cold front forecast to move across the region some time during the next weekend. Model forecasts are a little spread here, so will not get too specific on timing at this point. && Aviation (00z taf update)... updated at 642 PM EST sun Nov 23 2014 Wind will make for uncomfortable flying conditions, and ceilings (and to a lesser extent visibilities) will add to planning challenges during this taf period. Low pressure over Missouri this evening will strengthen as it charges northeast into Michigan tonight and southeast Canada tomorrow, dragging a cold front through central Kentucky Monday morning. South to southeast winds will be strong and gusty this evening out ahead of the low. Though winds of 45 to 50 knots will be possible this evening between 1500 and 2000 feet off the surface, surface winds are expected to be strong enough and directional shear minor enough such that we should fall just shy of low level wind shear criteria. The main shield of rain will sweep northeastward out of central Kentucky about the time the taf period starts. Scattered showers are then expected for the rest of the night with MVFR ceilings prevailing. Winds will be quite strong Monday, especially in the morning as the cold front moves through and takes winds to the southwest and then west-southwest. MVFR ceilings will continue through the day. The best chance for showers will be in the morning coincident with frontal passage. && Lmk watches/warnings/advisories... Kentucky...Wind Advisory from 4 am EST /3 am CST/ to 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Monday for kyz023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081- 082. In...Wind Advisory from 4 am EST /3 am CST/ to 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Monday for inz076>079-083-084-089>092. && $$ Update.........13 short term.....Kjd long term......rjs aviation.......13