Bowling Green, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 44°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: NW 21 mph
  • Humidity: 65%
  • Visibility: 9.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 33°
  • Pressure: 30.13 in. +
  • Heat Index: 36

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Next 12 Hours

3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
12  am
3  am
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
48°
41°
41°
39°
37°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 59 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 37 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 45 °
  • Low: 34 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Sunday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 21 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 28 °
  • Low: 14 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Bowling Green, Kentucky

Updated: 3:00 PM CST on January 29, 2015

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 52F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 32F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 37F with a windchill as low as 27F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Low of 21F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 50% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 28F with a windchill as low as 12F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 14F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 48F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 23F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 37F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 18F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 30F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 21F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 41F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 27F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Regents Avenue, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 4:16 PM CST

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Amy Court, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 4:15 PM CST

Temperature: 45.5 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: MIDCREST DR., Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 4:19 PM CST

Temperature: 42.8 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Clearing in wooded area, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 4:19 PM CST

Temperature: 42.4 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.42 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Dillard Road, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 4:16 PM CST

Temperature: 43.5 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Plano, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 4:19 PM CST

Temperature: 42.4 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: NW at 10.0 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

Location: Brownsville 7mi WNW, Huff, KY

Updated: 4:19 PM CST

Temperature: 42.1 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at 1.8 mph Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Mammoth Cave NP, Rocky Hill, KY

Updated: 2:50 PM CST

Temperature: 50.9 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 62% Wind: North at 12.5 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: RAWS HOUCHIN MEADOW KY US, Rocky Hill, KY

Updated: 3:12 PM CST

Temperature: 45 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: NW at 9 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Al Bedel Road, Auburn, KY

Updated: 4:15 PM CST

Temperature: 42.4 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: NE at 10.0 mph Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Louisville Kentucky 
353 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2015 


Short term (now through Friday night)... 
issued at 315 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2015 


Latest analysis shows surface low pressure centered over west 
central Illinois while a cold front stretched through central 
Missouri into northwest Arkansas. Ahead of this feature, a 
tightening pressure gradient and strong 50-60 kt jet between 900 and 
800 mb has brought warming temperatures to the Ohio Valley 
overnight. After bottoming out in the 20s to to lower 30s, readings 
have warmed into the mid 40s in the west while some eastern 
locations are holding in the lower 30s. 


The sheltered and valley locations across the far eastern and 
northeast forecast area have been slower to respond. Temperatures 
are expected to be right around 32 degrees as precipitation moves in 
early this morning and combined with the drier low levels, concerned 
that for a brief period, light freezing rain could fall and coat 
Road surfaces. Road temperature sensors across that area are in the 
30 to 32 degree range. This could cause some travel issues, 
especially for the morning commute. After coordinating with iln/jkl, 
have opted to issue a Special Weather Statement to cover the potential slick and icy spots 
across the Bluegrass region. 


Hi-res models are capturing the band of showers associated with the 
initial warming and pv anomaly fairly well, bringing it through 
central Kentucky and southern in early this morning through the 
mid-morning hours. Will time the highest pops during its passage. 
The true cold front and upper trough will arrive early to mid 
afternoon which could bring additional rain showers. High 
temperatures are expected to warm into the upper 40s to mid 50s 
before beginning to fall mid afternoon Post frontal. 


Wrap around moisture then arrives later this evening and through the 
overnight hours. Cross sections and soundings show the moisture 
mainly resides in the low levels. As colder air filters in while 
moisture exits, there's still the window for wintry precipitation. 
Soundings show loss of ice and saturation only reaches up to about 
-5c, so there is a concern for a period of drizzle or freezing 
drizzle across the Bluegrass region before enough cold air supports 
a changeover to snow flurries or showers. Have added a slight chance 
of freezing drizzle to the forecast for the late evening and 
overnight hours. Plan on low temperatures in the mid to upper 20s. 


Wrap around stratus is expected to hold in place Thursday night 
through a good portion of Friday, especially east of I-65, as 
moisture remains trapped beneath an inversion. Plan on a seasonably 
cold day with highs only topping out in the 30s. If clouds hang on 
longer into the afternoon, it's possible forecast high temperatures 
may be a few degrees too warm. 


Long term (saturday through thursday)... 
issued at 329 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2015 


..accumulating snows increasingly likely late this weekend across 
southern Indiana and portions of northern Kentucky... 


================================== 
synoptic scale overview 
================================== 


A split flow pattern aloft will be found at the beginning of the 
forecast period. By Sunday, a moderately strong mid-level wave will 
drop out of the northern plains and amplify as it approaches the 
mid-Mississippi Valley. As this occurs, surface cyclogenesis will 
take place over Arkansas with the newly formed surface low moving 
from SW Tennessee into the mid-Atlantic region by Monday morning. 
With cold air in place across the northern half of the forecast 
area, a swath of accumulating snows looks increasingly likely. 
Further south, near the surface low track, a wintry mix of rain and 
snow appears likely...eventually transitioning to all snow by Sunday 
night. The upper air pattern is then forecast to relax a bit, 
however, significant amplification is expected to occur by midweek 
as waves in the northern and southern stream attempt to phase and 
carve out a large/deep trough over the eastern third of the United 
States. 


================================== 
Model trends/preference/confidence 
================================== 


Model trends... 


Over the last 24 hours, we have started to see a more definitive 
case of model convergence on the evolution of the late weekend storm 
system. All of the 29/12z guidance has trended colder with regards 
to the lower boundary layer temperatures. The GFS and Euro have led 
the trend in the colder solutions, while the NAM and Canadian Gem 
have now started trending colder as well. The NAM is still the 
warmest of the models, while the GFS/Gem/Euro are generally the same 
as their previous runs. Noticeably, the Euro and GFS solutions have 
continued to show remarkable continuity in their runs, which results 
in increasing forecaster confidence on the evolution of this 
system. Given the current datasets and trends, it appears 
increasingly likely that accumulating snows will be a threat to 
southern Indiana and portions of northern Kentucky. 


The model data continues to exhibit some spread regarding the 
mid-late week system as the upper level flow and timing of features 
remain uncertain. However, there appears to be at least some hint 
of agreement that another weather system will affect the region 
Wednesday into Thursday. 


Model preference... 


For this forecast cycle we will be utilizing a blend of the previous 
forecast while incorporating the colder solutions from the new 
datasets. The forecast itself remains largely unchanged, but given 
the relatively good model agreement, we will be increasing pops 
for Saturday night through Monday morning. As for qpf, a blend of 
the GFS/Euro/wpc guidance will be incorporated. 


From midweek Onward, have generally stuck closer to the blend of the 
29/12z GFS ensemble and the 29/00z Euro ensembles along with 
incorporating our previous forecast. 


Forecast confidence... 


Forecast confidence on the occurrence of precipitation from Saturday 
night through Monday morning is high given the good model 
agreement. Forecast confidence on the precipitation type is much 
lower given the uncertainty in the forecast of lower atmospheric 
temperature profiles. This is especially true across much of 
southern Kentucky where low-level warm air will likely keep 
precipitation mixed or in plain liquid. Forecast confidence is 
increasing however, that much of southern Indiana and portions far 
northern Kentucky will see mostly snow with the late weekend system. 


Forecast confidence from midweek Onward can be described as 
low-moderate in both temperature and precipitation departments. 


================================== 
Sensible weather impacts 
================================== 


A quiet day of weather is expected on Saturday as we wait for the 
approach of the late weekend weather system. The day will likely 
start off partly sunny, but clouds will be on the increase late in 
the day. Highs look to warm into the upper 30s in the north with 
lower 40s across the south. 


By Saturday night, we expect a band of precipitation to develop out 
to our northwest within a large baroclinic zone from the Central 
Plains into the Midwest. Moisture is expected to return to the 
region during the overnight period with precipitation breaking out 
across southern Indiana and central Kentucky very late Saturday 
night. Thermal profiles generally look cold enough for mostly snow, 
but a mix of snow and rain may occur down across southern Kentucky. 


Precipitation is expected to expand and increase in intensity during 
the day on Sunday across the region. Model proximity soundings and 
thermal cross-sections suggest that mainly snow will occur across 
southern Indiana and across far northern Kentucky. Just exactly how far 
south the rain/snow line will be is not definitive at this time. 
However, incorporating the multi-model consensus, it does appear 
that the previous forecast of rain and snow across much of 
south-central Kentucky still looks to be likely at this time. 
However, should thermal profiles end up being slightly cooler, the 
lower boundary layer may be sufficiently cool enough to have snow as 
the pre-dominant precipitation type despite the fact that surface 
temperatures may be several degrees above freezing. 


As the surface low passes through the far southern portion of our 
forecast area, colder air will be pulled in from the north resulting 
in all areas seeing snow Sunday evening. The GFS and Euro continue 
to show a good deformation band signal within their data sets this 
afternoon. This deformation band looks to start off in central in 
Sunday afternoon and then many pivot southeastward into Kentucky 
late Sunday night and early Sunday morning. Based on the current 
datasets, the best chances for accumulating snows looks to be from 
Sunday afternoon through early Monday morning. 


Considerable uncertainty remains in the evolution of this system. 
It should be noted that the weather features forcing this system are 
located quite a ways from the North American upper air network and 
will not be properly sampled until late tonight or Friday morning. 
Because of the numerical models sensitivity to initial datasets, 
oscillations in the model solutions are still possible. We 
encourage people with travel plans this weekend to keep a close eye 
on subsequent forecasts as travel may be negatively impacted late 
this weekend. 


Quieter weather is expected for Monday and Tuesday as we will be in 
between weather systems. High and low temperature forecasts are 
particularly hard to nail down at this point as they may be greatly 
impacted if we have snow cover. For now, have stuck close to the 
superblend guidance with highs in the mid-upper 20s to the lower 30s. 


From midweek on, we will need to keep an eye on another weather 
system that will affect our region in the Wednesday/Thursday time 
frame. The track and evolution of this system is highly unknown and 
may be modulated to an extent by the late weekend system. For now, 
have kept a rain/snow mix chance in for Wednesday with some light 
snow possible Wednesday night. Much colder conditions look likely 
as we head to towards the end of the week. Current guidance 
generally gives highs in the 20s, but this could be too optimistic 
if a snow pack exists. Overnight lows in the upper single digits to 
lower teens are expected. However, sub-zero readings will be on The 
Table if a significant snow pack is realized. Stay tuned. 


&& 


Aviation (18z taf update)... 
issued at 1228 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2015 


A cold front will quickly slide through the taf sites this 
afternoon, with SW winds veering to west-northwest then northwest through the 
afternoon and evening. Expect sustained winds between 10 and 20 mph, 
occasionally gusting up around 35 mph during this time. As we move 
into mid afternoon, an upper disturbance combined with low level 
moisture may be enough to squeeze out a few showers. Any 
precipitation should be light so doubt vis restrictions will occur. 
Will put vcsh in tafs just in case. 


Otherwise, ceilings are expected to lower into the MVFR range very 
quickly, with ceilings expected to be below fuel-alternate by late 
afternoon at sdf/Lex. 


Low ceilings should persist fur much of the night with showers 
changing to snow showers at sdf/Lex. Winds will continue to veer to 
northwest and slacken. A return to higher MVFR or even VFR is possible by 
late morning, although there is some question as to whether low 
level moisture will still be trapped under the inversion. 


&& 


Lmk watches/warnings/advisories... 
Kentucky...none. 
In...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term........bjs 
long term.........Mj 
aviation..........bjs 














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