Bowling Green, Kentucky Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 61°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: South 8 mph
  • Humidity: 81%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 55°
  • Pressure: 29.70 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
57°
66°
75°
77°
69°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 53 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 42 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 42 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 67 °
  • Low: 47 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 65 °
  • Low: 47 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Bowling Green, Kentucky

Updated: 7:18 AM CDT on January 25, 2015

  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms developing this afternoon. A few storms may be severe. High 79F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Thunderstorms early, then cloudy skies after midnight. Low 53F. Winds WNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Sunday

    Cloudy skies early, followed by partial clearing. High 64F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low 42F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Sunny skies. High 66F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 42F. Winds light and variable.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy skies. High 67F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low 47F. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will become overcast in the afternoon. High around 65F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    A few showers in the evening with clear skies overnight. Low 47F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy skies. High 68F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low 47F. Winds light and variable.

  • Friday

    Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 73F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear skies. Low around 50F. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday

    Sunny skies. High 76F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low 49F. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds. High 81F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    A few clouds. Low 57F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy skies. High 83F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 59F. Winds light and variable.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 82F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. Low near 60F. Winds light and variable.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Regents Avenue, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 9:20 AM CDT

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Amy Court, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 9:20 AM CDT

Temperature: 62.1 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MIDCREST DR., Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 62.1 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Dillard Road, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 59.9 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Plano, Bowling Green, KY

Updated: 9:23 AM CDT

Temperature: 60.8 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.67 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Brownsville 7mi WNW, Huff, KY

Updated: 9:23 AM CDT

Temperature: 59.5 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SSE at 1.8 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: RAWS, Rocky Hill, KY

Updated: 8:12 AM CDT

Temperature: 55 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: SE at 3 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Al Bedel Road, Auburn, KY

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 61.5 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Holly Falls Lane, Mammoth Cave, KY

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 56.8 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Louisville Kentucky 
652 am EDT Sat Apr 25 2015 


..updated aviation discussion... 


..Forecast update... 
updated 621 am EDT Sat Apr 25 2015 


No major changes needed to the forecast this morning, as it is 
largely on track. Still expecting rain showers to continue to 
Blossom over the region, especially along and north of I-64 this 
morning. This is all in response to a low-level jet and isentropic 
ascent veering into the region. May see a few rumbles of thunder 
especially as we get into the late morning hours, but no severe 
weather is expected through noon. 


The 06z NAM has come in further north with the warm frontal 
placement late this afternoon, which would bring the I-64 corridor 
more into play for severe potential. However, the latest runs of 
the hrrr continue to show the warm front stalling south of I-64 and 
very close to the current forecast position. Given the hrrr has a 
decent handle on ongoing convection, and the support of the other 
hi-res guidance in regards to expected frontal position this 
afternoon, see no need to adjust things further north based on the 
06z NAM quite yet. Will continue to monitor trends through the 
morning hours and especially the 12z guidance suite. 


Short term (now through Saturday night)... 
issued at 345 am EDT Sat Apr 25 2015 


..severe weather likely this afternoon and evening... 


Overview 
======== 
the current synoptic setup features a split-flow regime across the 
Continental U.S.. the Ohio Valley will be affected by a pv anomaly currently 
across eastern Kansas and western MO, which will push through the 
region late this afternoon into tonight. 


In response to the ejecting pv anomaly out of the southwest flow 
aloft, a surface low has formed across portions of eastern Kansas. This 
low will slide east today, but will begin to fill as the overall 
system encounters confluent flow over the Ohio Valley. A very sharp 
warm front associated with this low pressure system will develop 
across the Ohio Valley today. 


This morning 
============ 
with the ejecting wave, isentropic ascent has increased across the 
region this morning. This has led to showers breaking out across 
the Ohio Valley, and the radar should continue to Blossom through 
the morning hours as a low-level jet of 40-50 knots veers into the 
region towards sunrise. Forecast soundings show limited elevated 
instability, so severe weather is not expected. Just some showers 
with a few embedded rumbles of thunder appears likely. 


This afternoon/evening 
====================== 
the placement of the aforementioned sharp warm front will be 
absolutely critical to how far north the severe weather threat gets 
this afternoon/evening. The 25/00z guidance shifted this front 
south just a bit from previous runs, which would take much of the 
I-64 corridor out of the main severe risk. Will cautiously trend 
the forecast towards this more southern solution given the support 
on almost guidance members, but still am a bit weary this front 
could end up surging further north, especially if there is less 
showers/storm coverage this morning than expected (less convective 
enhancement to the front). This warm front will be the main player 
that we will continue to monitor through the day. 


At this point, expect the front to align itself roughly along a line 
from Owensboro, to north of Elizabethtown, over towards Lebanon 
by late this afternoon. To the south of it, a warm and unstable 
airmass is likely to materialize given temperatures rising to near 
80 and dewpoints in the middle 60s. This low-level environment 
coupled with very steep lapse rates aloft will support MLCAPES 
anywhere from 1500-3000 j/kg, with much of that cape residing within 
the hail growth zone (-10 to -30c). 


The evolution of the convection could be rather complex. There 
seems to be a decent signal in the hi-res guidance that the strong 
warm front may lead to convective initiation, which will likely be 
initially discrete in nature. Given 0-6km shear well over 50 knots, 
these will be supercellular, if they are to form. The aforementioned 
instability coupled with deep-layer shear will lead to a large hail 
threat, with Golf Ball to even baseball-sized hail not out of the 
question in some of these storms. Bunker's rm storm motion vectors 
place the motion of these potential supercells almost parallel to 
the warm front, which is worrisome because any storm that forms 
along this front will have access to enhanced helicity, given the 
backed surface winds. Therefore, think there is an enhanced tornado 
threat right along this boundary wherever it happens to set up, 
perhaps more of a threat than Storm Prediction Center is currently highlighting with 
their 5% tornado risk. 


Further south (across far southern KY, near Tennessee border), strong 
mixing coupled with the fact that the surface low will be filling 
will lead to more veered surface winds, which should cut down 
somewhere on the effective srh. However, with westerly low-level 
jet expected to strengthen towards 26/00z, hodographs will be 
long/curved enough to support an isolated tornado threat early this 
evening in areas south of the warm front. Coverage of these storms 
not tied to the warm front will likely be rather isolated, given a 
lack of convergence and the presence of a weak cap in the warm 
sector. 


By a bit later this evening, the actual surface low will push into 
west-central Kentucky. Near the triple Point of this low, enhanced 
convergence will likely lead to a more concentrated area of 
convection, perhaps a mix of bowing segments and supercells which 
will push into the I-65 corridor toward 02-04z. By this time, 
daytime instability should be beginning to wane, but still think 
this second round will carry a severe threat of large hail, damaging 
winds, and isolated tornadoes as it pushes southeast across 
south-central Kentucky. 


Bust potential 
============== 
there remains some potential bust factors with this setup. The 
first and most obvious, is the morning convection. We will need 
this to clear out and some sunshine to break out south of the warm 
front this afternoon for US to destabilize. Given the general 
guidance agreement, do have pretty high confidence this will occur 
and we will become quite unstable across southern Kentucky late this 
afternoon. 


The other potential bust factor will if discrete development will 
occur late this afternoon/early evening. Warm fronts can be tricky 
in initiating surface-based convection, so we could go through the 
day not seeing much becoming sustained along the front. In 
addition, the weak cap could hold through the rest of the warm 
sector giving very little coverage of discrete convection until the 
more concentrated line of storms approaches with the surface low 
well after peak heating. 


Summary 
======= 
while there is bust potential, have fairly high confidence in severe 
weather this afternoon and evening. Think the main threats will be 
hail and damaging winds, but an enhanced tornado threat will be 
found right along the warm front. This is something we will 
continue to monitor closely this afternoon. Even north of the warm 
front in Lexington and Louisville, forecast soundings show quite a 
bit of elevated instability above the stable boundary layer, so 
severe hail will certainly be a possibility even in areas north of 
the warm front. 


Long term (sunday through friday)... 
issued at 230 am EDT Sat Apr 25 2015 


Cool and mostly dry conditions are expected from Sunday most of the 
way through next week. Upper pattern looks fairly blocky as the main 
player is an eastern Continental U.S. Trof that keeps getting reinforced. 
Around mid-week a bowling-Ball closed low in the southern stream 
will push across the deep south, with precip chances in the Ohio 
Valley Wednesday and Wednesday night. Timing is still a bit 
uncertain, and the European model (ecmwf) is more bullish in phasing this system with 
a northern stream disturbance, so will just paint low-end chance 
pops for Wednesday and Wednesday night. Temps will run below climo 
for most of this period. 


Toward the end of the week, upper ridging over the plains starts to 
build into the Ohio Valley. Look for dry weather and exceedingly 
pleasant temps with highs in the 70s and lows either side of 50 just 
in time for the first weekend in may. 


&& 


Aviation (12z taf update)... 
updated at 651 am EDT Sat Apr 25 2015 


Deteriorating conditions will push in through the taf period, as an 
area of low pressure approaches from the west. Showers will 
continue to expand in coverage this morning, bringing MVFR vsbys at 
cigs at times to all terminals. Will leave in thunderstorms in the vicinity wording given 
some marginal elevated instability, but think any thunderstorm 
activity will be rather isolated through the morning hours. 


A warm front will sharpen and lift northeast into the area today. 
Just north of this front, a period of IFR cigs can be expected at 
all sites. The latest guidance suite continues to suggest this 
front will likely stall just to the south of ksdf and klex, meaning 
low cigs may persist in these locations through much of the day, 
especially at klex. Kbwg will likely scour out this afternoon and 
mix down south-southwest wind gusts around 25 knots. Late this afternoon into 
this evening, severe thunderstorms are expected to break out over 
central KY, mainly affecting kbwg. However, there is enough 
elevated instability to warrant thunderstorms in the vicinity wording at ksdf and klex as 
well with this activity. Winds will turn more northerly late in the 
taf period as the area of low pressure pushes to the southeast. 


12z taf forecaster confidence 
============================= 
ceilings : medium 
visibilities: medium 
winds : low at ksdf and klex 
============================= 


&& 


Lmk watches/warnings/advisories... 
Kentucky...none. 
In...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Update.........Kjd 
short term.....Kjd 
long term......Ras 
aviation.......kjd 










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