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Area forecast discussion...updated National Weather Service tiyan GU 450 PM chst Wednesday Nov 25 2015 Updated to add micronesia discussions Synopsis... radar shows isolated light showers across the coverage area. Satellite shows patchy cloudiness across the region with no significant weather producers upstream. Tropical storm in-forecast area is far northwest and moving toward the North Pacific. VAD gradient winds are east-southeast at 15 knots. Buoys show seas near 5 feet at tanapag and 7 to near 8 feet at ritidian and ipan. && Discussion... isolated thunderstorms were removed from the foreast. Partly cloudy skies and isolated showers prevailed across the region today...and pleasant weather with relatively dry trade winds are expected for the marianas through the next 7 days. && Marine... models indicate moderate trade-winds the next couple days...then winds will become fresh to occasionally strong over the weekend. Sea and surf conditions could possibly approach advisory criteria by Saturday or Sunday. Only mnor changes were made to the marine grids at this time. && Eastern micronesia... a near-equatorial trough remains across eastern micronesia from about 2n150e to eq173e. Scattered showers are found just north of the trough across Kosrae but south of Pohnpei. Scattered showers are in the forecast this evening for Kosrae...but should decrease to isolated after midnight as the trough sinks southward toward the Equator. Once the trough sinks south...the rest of the forecast for eastern micronesia is quiet in the absence of anything other than a fairly dry trade wind flow. && Western micronesia... weather continues very quiet across Koror and Yap...with light winds in a broad neutral point between a trough stretching south from ts in-forecast area up north and a broad trough extending up from the southeast. Models show east to northeast trades coming back in to Koror and Yap over the next couple of days...becoming moderate to fresh by the weekend. Also by the weekend...the near-equatorial trough will extend westward into the region along 2n...somewhat enhancing low- level convergence and resulting in more cloudiness and isolated thunderstorms. At Chuuk...fairly dry east to northeast trades will result in only isolated showers the next few days. But a weak trough moving through from the northeast will likely trigger isolated thunderstorms tonight. && Gum watches/warnings/advisories... GU...none. Marianas waters...none. && $$ Simpson/middlebrooke